Friday Crop Report on a Thursday!

Commodity Marketing

Tools

Friday Crop Report on a Thursday!

SASKFARMER's Avatar Oct 15, 2020 | 06:44 1 What a week to end the harvest Season. The last farm in our area to finish is now done.

Ok, the Guy who Plays the system still hasn't done much but he is such a good farmer.

Most crops were Below average compared to the last three to five years. Just saying not to many farms had 60 plus canola. A bumper was 45 this year and lots were 25 or less.

Durum yields lower than HRS again for most.

Most farms are burning, Ok yesterday was a little windy please watch what you're doing.

Fall work is getting done for the first time in a very long time. Most in our area finish and the next day or two it snows and you play shed tetras not fall tillage. We are either running heavy harrows or Kelly or a new machine from Manitoba that we have on Demo, more later. Did get a section worked end to end. It was direct seeded since 1981. It was time.

Cat work and landscaping begins in about a week.

Good deals on Ammonia .37 plus delivery up to .44. That's a decent price.

The ground is dry and so far we are only at .99 of an inch since Sept 1. I would like that to be 4 in before freeze up so at least we have a chance in 2021 for a good crop.

Bales are getting picked and grain is moving. Cows moving home and pastures are done.

Oh, this is what's called a normal fall. Except for the fricking wind. It's nuts.

Funny machinery is insane. Got a price on a new sprayer, The difference is more than RB auctions cash price on a two year old one. Is the 10000-acre farm dead and it's just the 30000 to 50000 club that will remain? Any investor wants to hand me $100,000,000.00 million I have a plan that is way better than any they currently use. Just saying Call.

Have a great day I'm not convinced we're done just yet as farmers I still think the most profitable farm is the 5000-acre farm but when your offered $500,000.00 per quarter money changes everything.

Have a great day and be safe don't get the COVID. HAHAHA Reply With Quote
SASKFARMER's Avatar Oct 15, 2020 | 06:54 2 Name:  E4AD6D47-11FA-4DDC-B80C-DCB374674D45.jpg
Views: 951
Size:  20.0 KB

Name:  A00FD6B6-0783-4934-870B-33154563E7A7.jpg
Views: 955
Size:  19.5 KB

Name:  DE8910AC-178E-40A9-84B5-F6C7D49EA5D6.jpg
Views: 944
Size:  12.6 KB

Fire and wind are a touchy combination.

Name:  8EFCE78D-F6F8-4B2E-9231-349B4A090B37.jpg
Views: 952
Size:  19.7 KB

Ah for those who wondered about how dry things are yea bit much of the west is really wet. Reply With Quote
Oct 15, 2020 | 06:58 3 Minus 8 at Ghetto Central.

Park the sprayer and get out the granular applicator. Reply With Quote
  • 1 Like


  • Oct 15, 2020 | 07:00 4 Funny machinery is insane. Got a price on a new sprayer, The difference is more than RB auctions cash price on a two year old one. Is the 10000-acre farm dead and it's just the 30000 to 50000 club that will remain? Any investor wants to hand me $100,000,000.00 million I have a plan that is way better than any they currently use. Just saying Call.

    Thats an interesting comment....that is what the government policy has done in the past 2 decades...

    Cut the farm support , ignore farmers, and watch guys say " Phuck it" while the BTO continues to grow....back by the same institution that wouldn't help the smaller guy...

    Those back rooms at places like FCC have to be pretty busy when the canola crop is a little short on revenue ...inputs for 50 ...yield of 35 or less....contracts that are filled with the 35bpa and no extra for net revenue...

    The good news is daddy knows how to handle the guys at FCC since he phucked FCC 20 years ago......they have a new bunch that don't know shit and their jobs are on the line as opposed to forcing a guy out with a multi million dollar payout.
    Last edited by bucket; Oct 15, 2020 at 07:03.
    Reply With Quote
    SASKFARMER's Avatar Oct 15, 2020 | 07:11 5 I think it's a little bigger than FCC. Its banks betting on the BTO vs the guy with Zero opp and cash in savings and checking plus paid for land and equity in everything. Its investors looking for 2% return and foreign ownership of land. ITs all about the flash and zero cash.

    Why can't we all just get along?

    A new normal in farming is coming but guys who are 60 are looking at a payday to retire or work like a fool and keep going.

    First land sale in our area in three years happened and it was Chinese leaving and Young Canadian farmers taking over. The last sale was uncle to nephew and aunt to other side nephews. Reply With Quote
  • 1 Like


  • Oct 15, 2020 | 07:19 6
    Quote Originally Posted by SASKFARMER View Post
    First land sale in our area in three years happened and it was Chinese leaving and Young Canadian farmers taking over. The last sale was uncle to nephew and aunt to other side nephews.
    Farmers are always late getting to the party, they show up when everyone else is leaving and then they don't know when to leave themselves.

    I sat on my hands while land prices continued on their parabolic trajectory, but would probably be schtoopit enough to buy in at the peak and hope to ride the much slower train of appreciation and hope the fúcker doesn't derail!!!! Reply With Quote
  • 1 Like

    GDR

  • Oct 15, 2020 | 07:24 7
    Quote Originally Posted by SASKFARMER View Post
    I think it's a little bigger than FCC. Its banks betting on the BTO vs the guy with Zero opp and cash in savings and checking plus paid for land and equity in everything. Its investors looking for 2% return and foreign ownership of land. ITs all about the flash and zero cash.

    Why can't we all just get along?

    A new normal in farming is coming but guys who are 60 are looking at a payday to retire or work like a fool and keep going.

    First land sale in our area in three years happened and it was Chinese leaving and Young Canadian farmers taking over. The last sale was uncle to nephew and aunt to other side nephews.
    Yup betting on the BTO....who ends up begging government for help with TFW or having the ability to access government programs like CEBA ...

    So now the small guy with paid off land is competing against the BTO with access to the Canadian treasury, competing against the 75 billion Trump has thrown the american farmer which has distorted the markets....and competing against the Russians who see agriculture as a profit centre for their country and have invested in infrastructure ...


    The kicker here ....even the Canadian big guys will eventually need more than just a little help...and in the long term it would have been easier to keep the smaller farmers and the next generation afloat. Reply With Quote
  • 2 Likes


  • Oct 15, 2020 | 07:55 8 I think the two biggest surprises for producers and for the market was barley and canola yields. Barley yields were average around here at best and feed barley is $5 at the bin door in central Alberta right now as a result. Personally my barley yields were slightly below average and canola yields average. I have talked to a few guys that threw everything but the kitchen sink at their canola and were happy with the yields but they are the exception not the rule. Around here wheat and hay were the only crops that met farmers expectations. Reply With Quote
    SASKFARMER's Avatar Oct 15, 2020 | 08:36 9 Yep barley yields were down and canola is down and wheat was a average and durum the same. Oats yields down also. Plus flax etc. Peas were good to normal.

    Oh right our ag minister said it was the top five crops ever Hahahah must bot grow much where he is from. Reply With Quote
    Oct 15, 2020 | 09:34 10 About twelve acres of hailed barley left. Stupid case wobble box giving me fits again the last few days. Got about five acres done yesterday.

    Ccccoooooollllllllddddd out there this morning! Reply With Quote
    Partners's Avatar Oct 15, 2020 | 12:14 11 New equipment prices are retarded.
    But still shop around.
    What a eye opener..
    Oh ya..guess who is highest? Reply With Quote
    Oct 15, 2020 | 12:36 12 Any guesses on dealer cash profit on a 700000 piece of equipment. Reply With Quote
    Oct 15, 2020 | 12:38 13
    Quote Originally Posted by rumrocks View Post
    Any guesses on dealer cash profit on a 700000 piece of equipment.
    My guess 300k. Reply With Quote
    Oct 15, 2020 | 12:51 14 200,000 Reply With Quote
    SASKFARMER's Avatar Oct 15, 2020 | 12:54 15 Name:  912E4A0E-E375-4977-8E49-4769E5EF6712.jpg
Views: 761
Size:  15.3 KB

    New toy to try 40 ftis max Reply With Quote
    Oct 15, 2020 | 13:15 16
    Quote Originally Posted by Rareearth View Post
    200,000
    That's 28.5%, that seems a bit rich. Reply With Quote
    Oct 15, 2020 | 13:17 17
    Quote Originally Posted by SASKFARMER View Post
    Name:  912E4A0E-E375-4977-8E49-4769E5EF6712.jpg
Views: 761
Size:  15.3 KB

    New toy to try 40 ftis max
    They know where the money is..... in the Garden of Eden!!
    Only demos in the Ghetto are smashed hopes and dreams!!!! Reply With Quote
  • 2 Likes


  • Oct 15, 2020 | 13:58 18 Newest craze around here
    Get a big enough sprayer so you leave ruts even on a dry year
    Then pull out the “track eraser” 10 ft vertical till machine and put one of the crew to work for a few days
    Smallest sprayer rogator makes now is a rg1100
    Reply With Quote
    Oct 15, 2020 | 16:36 19 Mowing down brush where I cleared some low spots and they have been wet for a few years but dry now . Reply With Quote
  • 1 Like


  • Oct 15, 2020 | 16:53 20 Is that your last strip of alfalfa ?
    Haulin canary to schoulars Reply With Quote
    Oct 15, 2020 | 17:15 21
    Quote Originally Posted by SASKFARMER View Post
    I think it's a little bigger than FCC. Its banks betting on the BTO vs the guy with Zero opp and cash in savings and checking plus paid for land and equity in everything. Its investors looking for 2% return and foreign ownership of land. ITs all about the flash and zero cash.

    Why can't we all just get along?

    A new normal in farming is coming but guys who are 60 are looking at a payday to retire or work like a fool and keep going.

    First land sale in our area in three years happened and it was Chinese leaving and Young Canadian farmers taking over. The last sale was uncle to nephew and aunt to other side nephews.
    The guys with zero line of credit and paid for land dont waste money on new, thats why they have no debt. Leave it up to the hotshots to buy new every two years, so i can buy their 50% depreciated machinery, and buy more land. Reply With Quote
  • 2 Likes


  • Oct 15, 2020 | 17:19 22
    Quote Originally Posted by caseih View Post
    Newest craze around here
    Get a big enough sprayer so you leave ruts even on a dry year
    Then pull out the “track eraser” 10 ft vertical till machine and put one of the crew to work for a few days
    Smallest sprayer rogator makes now is a rg1100
    ha ha, i see some bto's around here going that. it didnt rain here all summer, but they had big sprayer ruts and needed a $175K protill to fix them up. Reply With Quote
  • 1 Like


  • Oct 15, 2020 | 18:24 23 these are special little pro tills the width of sprayer , probably $50 k
    all the rage here Reply With Quote
    Oct 15, 2020 | 18:37 24
    Quote Originally Posted by caseih View Post
    Is that your last strip of alfalfa ?
    Haulin canary to schoulars
    Yes alfalfa is done. Reply With Quote
  • 1 Like


  • Oct 15, 2020 | 20:18 25
    Quote Originally Posted by caseih View Post
    Is that your last strip of alfalfa ?
    Haulin canary to schoulars
    How come you get to haul LOL, I have 6000bu more to finish my contracts and every time I text Lorraine she tells me their full. Where do you think it goes from 30 cents? I still have quite a bit to price.

    Saskfarmer, is that the new twister from Mandako, the one you can hydraulically change the angle of the coulters? Was trying to find one for a demo to see if it would cut through this hardpan I am developing. Reply With Quote
    LEP
    Oct 15, 2020 | 21:23 26 A picture for those that think they have headaches.

    Name:  Screenshot_20201015-210341_Messages.jpg
Views: 524
Size:  93.0 KB Reply With Quote
    helmsdale's Avatar Oct 15, 2020 | 22:14 27
    Quote Originally Posted by LEP View Post
    A picture for those that think they have headaches.

    Name:  Screenshot_20201015-210341_Messages.jpg
Views: 524
Size:  93.0 KB
    They park their combines crooked just like me! Pisses the OCD neighbors (and likely dad) off to no end!

    Honestly I usually just park my shrapnel where it dies for the night, say phuck it, and deal with it in the morning... Reply With Quote
  • 2 Likes


  • SASKFARMER's Avatar Oct 15, 2020 | 22:18 28 I see a X 9 Reply With Quote
    Oct 15, 2020 | 22:34 29 About 4200 acres per combine.

    So many STO unsung heroes in this industry. ....that work as hard as the "for show" operations.

    Go big or go home.

    I'm at home, satisfied in the Ghetto. Reply With Quote
  • 1 Like


  • Oct 15, 2020 | 22:39 30
    Quote Originally Posted by Misterjade9 View Post
    How come you get to haul LOL, I have 6000bu more to finish my contracts and every time I text Lorraine she tells me their full. Where do you think it goes from 30 cents? I still have quite a bit to price.

    Saskfarmer, is that the new twister from Mandako, the one you can hydraulically change the angle of the coulters? Was trying to find one for a demo to see if it would cut through this hardpan I am developing.
    This was sept contract they couldnt take
    Were about half priced
    We thought it was gonna go higher last year but didnt
    Last edited by caseih; Oct 15, 2020 at 22:43.
    Reply With Quote