Is it “do or “die” week?

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Is it “do or “die” week?

Jun 27, 2020 | 10:15 1 “Supposedly”, there is some good rain in the forecast ... if you want to believe it!
Is this the one that could save the crop to give us an average crop? If it doesn’t materialize what state are the crops going to be in a week or two? From travels yesterday canola has taken it the worst, I’m not sure rain will make a 20bu crop. Leaves were cupped turning blue and flowering, very thin and small leaves.
Heres hoping for an inch. 🤞🤞
Have a good wk end everyone. Reply With Quote
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  • Jun 27, 2020 | 10:51 2 Just came in from the never ending rain disgusted and thinking of posting here about it. Yesterday was supposed to be sunny and 27 according to the forecast but 16 and rain instead. The forecast looked like decent spray days until Monday but now it just looks like just more rain all weekend and most of next week.
    Canola leaves are cupping and turning purple and yellow and its not from lack of rain. Reply With Quote
    fjlip's Avatar Jun 27, 2020 | 11:01 3 Typical, only rains where WET, never rains where DRY! We are neither, no complaints ATM. Reply With Quote
    Jun 27, 2020 | 11:21 4 Very dry south of Moose Jaw, can canola flower at two inches tall? Reply With Quote
    Jun 27, 2020 | 11:31 5 Yep it can. And still run 40 bushels to the acre if you are the right guy 😜 Reply With Quote
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  • Jun 27, 2020 | 11:42 6
    Quote Originally Posted by TSIPP View Post
    Very dry south of Moose Jaw, can canola flower at two inches tall?
    Have had just that happen from too much rain, so yep, it can happen. It sucks. Reply With Quote
    Jun 27, 2020 | 12:05 7 I am checking the WN hourly just waiting for the eventually revision of 25 mm down to 2mm. Hasnt happened yet.

    US based forecasts where they actually have a real functioning weather service linked to their ag industry are matching this time. Reply With Quote
    Jun 27, 2020 | 13:25 8 For a first world country weather forecasting sure is lacking. I wonder how much more accurate private forecasters are compared to govt. would be a great cost/accuracy study. Reply With Quote
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  • Jun 27, 2020 | 13:25 9 Around Kindersley every rain now will be expanding root rot in lentil fields. Reply With Quote
    Jun 27, 2020 | 13:31 10 So a scary dark cloud with 4 drops is 5mm one day, and 10-15mm the next, but a lighter cloud with just 2 drops is 20-25mm and 7 days out a partly sunny day with a 30% POP somehow results in another 20-25mm.

    Like are 4 yr olds working at the WN?

    Sounds like the are using the climate change and covid models. A blindfolded drunk with darts would be more accurate than our experts.

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    Now look at the env Canada forecast. Looks like they are forecasting just enough moisture to barely wet the leaves.

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    Last edited by jazz; Jun 27, 2020 at 13:36.
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    biglentil's Avatar Jun 27, 2020 | 14:08 11 If we dont get a decent rain this week shes done. Reply With Quote
    Jun 27, 2020 | 14:18 12 My crystal ball says 70mm for us. Hope the ground can handle that much?? Reply With Quote
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  • Jun 27, 2020 | 15:03 13
    Quote Originally Posted by bigzee View Post
    My crystal ball says 70mm for us. Hope the ground can handle that much??

    Pattern better change soon. I wanna be kept awake all night moving eavestroughs. Like your crystal ball.👍🍀🙏🏼 Reply With Quote
    Jun 27, 2020 | 15:17 14 Trying to get the sprayer empty in between rain showers Reply With Quote
    Jun 27, 2020 | 17:09 15 It appears the big rain is beginning to fizzle out. Big suprise there. F#ck.😡😡 Reply With Quote
    iceman's Avatar Jun 27, 2020 | 17:42 16
    Quote Originally Posted by sofa.king View Post
    It appears the big rain is beginning to fizzle out. Big suprise there. F#ck.😡😡
    Next year country just like the rough riders. Speaking of them are we gonna bail them out because of COVID-19?

    They do bring tourism to the slough city.

    Iceman Reply With Quote
    Jun 27, 2020 | 19:22 17 Would anyone take a guess at how big the dry area of the prairies would be?

    We are wet but we are a small area. Reply With Quote
    Jun 27, 2020 | 19:38 18
    Quote Originally Posted by seldomseen View Post
    Would anyone take a guess at how big the dry area of the prairies would be?

    We are wet but we are a small area.
    1/4 the size of last year Reply With Quote
    Jun 27, 2020 | 19:43 19
    Quote Originally Posted by seldomseen View Post
    Would anyone take a guess at how big the dry area of the prairies would be?

    We are wet but we are a small area.
    Reply With Quote
    helmsdale's Avatar Jun 27, 2020 | 19:55 20 Reply With Quote
    helmsdale's Avatar Jun 27, 2020 | 19:57 21 Reply With Quote
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  • Jun 27, 2020 | 20:07 22 Looks like a large area to me
    Much like a lot of posters on here are saying
    Boots 🥾 on the ground , usually closer to truth than reporting from “experts” Reply With Quote
    biglentil's Avatar Jun 27, 2020 | 20:25 23 The biggest crop disaster since the 30's perhaps? I predict no $700 bags of canola in my future. BASF can ***** starve as far as I'm concerned. Reply With Quote
    Jun 27, 2020 | 20:36 24 Huhh, I am surprised by Manitoba. Not hearing a lot out of them being that dry, Reply With Quote
    Jun 27, 2020 | 20:48 25 I'd be willing to bet someone that the top quarter to a third of the yeild is already lost in the Slum of the Ghetto. Reply With Quote
    Jun 27, 2020 | 20:57 26 I find this thread of great interest and sorry to guys who are struggling and hoping and Looking skywards.

    None of my comments are to be taken as being a smart arse.

    See yields of 15 To 20 bushels being a train wreck.

    Different world of course and price dependant we cover costs at that nothing more though.

    Train wreck here is zero and as we have discussed we don’t have insurance here.

    Costs lower except machinery inputs lower land costs lower.

    All in perspective I guess.

    Farma in the ghettho would be paradise perhaps to many dry land aussies.

    And the wet well pardon the pun I can’t fathom that. Reply With Quote
    Jun 27, 2020 | 21:35 27 Risk is disgusting in Western Canada.
    Retarded rents, not designed for "poor" crops.
    My wheat herbicide was over $20/ac, I was hopeful and optimistic. (Generic Axial and Pixarro)
    We have very close to 300 lbs./ac fert on our canola(might be light for some people).
    Wheat has enough on too.
    Spraying we didn't cut any corners(except 80 acres of peas were too clean to spray)
    Did a bag of Edge that didn't work, went in with Odyssey(would have used it anyway) but topped it off with 40 acre per jug rate of Poast.....had to!!!!
    All canola sprayed with Odyssey Ultra.
    2/3 canola seed treated with Lumiderm and a third not...mixed 1/3-2/3 going into air cart.
    Flax got high rate Curtail M and 40 acre/jug rate of Poast.
    Some peas(3/4 of them) got Imazethapyr(generic Pursuit) AND high rate Authority) post seeding pre-emergent, to get a handle on what I thought would be a carpet of volunteer shelled yellow mustard from the late harvest the year before., then had to go in with Viper because of no activation or decent rain to make the other two herbicides work)....couldn't use Odyssey because I would have been double rating the Imazethapyr.
    Add in machinery costs, fuel, insurance, labour. Etc....

    Really feeling the risk this year, not real comfortable.

    On the bright side, for us, I've seen worse feilds than ours and some are right beside us.

    Wiseguy, I don't carry crop insurance.....

    If Agstability needs to trigger.....that will be real bad.

    It's not over yet but it is already "somewhat" too late.....
    Last edited by farmaholic; Jun 27, 2020 at 21:37.
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    Jun 27, 2020 | 21:54 28 Imagine paying 12-15K rent on 150 acres in a drought year. I hope grain quality is good!

    I justified to the Apprentice going the extra mile on the herbicides because we don't pay rent. I can "afford" to attempt to keep my land clean and not risk losing it to someone else and benefitting from my costs and efforts.

    Deciding where to shave expenses is a shitty deal based on limited resources.

    I wonder if a time will come when tenants will have more influence in the cost of land rent. Still seems like there's only two options...."pay" it or leave it
    Last edited by farmaholic; Jun 27, 2020 at 22:06.
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    Jun 27, 2020 | 22:14 29 Listening to the media it sounds like everything is good this summer and its nice hearing from real farmers about whats really going on.

    Risk is huge with costs so high and always the risk of drought or flooding! Reply With Quote
    Jun 27, 2020 | 22:17 30 [QUOTE=farmaholic;
    Some peas(3/4 of them) got Imazethapyr(generic Pursuit) AND high rate Authority) .[/QUOTE]

    Have you ever had crop damage the following year from carryover Pursuit residue. Reply With Quote