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Canola Acreage will just get to 20 mil in 2020. Farmers are dropping crop.

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    Canola Acreage will just get to 20 mil in 2020. Farmers are dropping crop.

    It seems the experts think farmers will grow 20 mil acres of canola in 2020. But that's ok because they are increasing yield every year so an oversupply will be achieved and all is good.

    Now get the new bags of seed that has heavy medium and light seed and one screw up its not 5 acres it's 3 you seeded and the game continues.

    I do feel the area south of the Number 1 highway and up a little to Kindersley will drop canola a bit or 100%. our area won't increase but maybe the NE and NW where clubroot is running rampant will increase acres to Canola.

    Its a very high priced crop to grow and by the comments of guys at farm shows no one is willing to spend more on 2020 crop than they have to.

    Ag more than ever needs a reset and its all thanks to a Fed Gov who can't spell Ag let alone know anything about it.

    But let's get a group of Hitler youth to advise Ottawa about farming.

    Also if guys have crop still to harvest and it's in the Canola zone will those acres get seeded to Canola?

    I think Barley and Oats will go up.

    #2
    What happened to the canola trade mission the govt was going to do? Another empty virtue signalling platitude and nothing gets done.

    Canada is about to report its 4th Q GDP and it will be negative. First signs of skippys recession are coming home to roost. Funny how that works when you decide to destroy the west and you end up killing the entire economy.

    Comment


      #3
      Yes all you guys south of highway 16 should quit growing canola, just leave it to us in the NE.

      Comment


        #4
        That was a joke by the way, but i do see oat and barley acres increasing. Clubroot won't be a big problem if you have started a management program to deal with it before you get it.

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          #5
          Alfalfa
          Barley
          Corn
          ............... and cows of course🐮

          Not interested in canola again since the above all net better $$’s an acre. If all else fails (drought, hail, etc....) it easily becomes cow chow as well. The gross $ figures don’t match up with the net since good alfalfa pasture can rank right up there too.

          Patiently awaiting green grass here ..........

          Comment


            #6
            Just saying, but best market price wise, is most likely wheat. Im looking for a frost in Kansas before we get going to confirm. Stay flexible, it isn't too early to return seed.

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              #7
              Originally posted by Misterjade9 View Post
              Yes all you guys south of highway 16 should quit growing canola, just leave it to us in the NE.
              I don't think that will bring $12 canola again. This will likely become a very price sensitive market now as the remaining buyers are much more fussy and cheap. Just like in the lentil trade. There is a price they will buy it and a price they just will not touch it no matter what. Same as durum. Rocks out of the bins at $7.25 but stalls at $8 no matter the season or the stocks.

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                #8
                Heard yesterday big increase in wheat acres?
                5 bucks must be a profit?

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                  #9
                  Originally posted by Partners View Post
                  Heard yesterday big increase in wheat acres?
                  5 bucks must be a profit?


                  $5? Try $6.37 US for milling SRW

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                    #10
                    Originally posted by Partners View Post
                    Heard yesterday big increase in wheat acres?
                    5 bucks must be a profit?
                    Isnt it closer to $7?

                    Much less risk, 70bu at $5 is just about the same money as 50bu at $9.50 plus seed. More stable market perhaps. Canada is pretty much owns the canola export market so any hiccups come back to us disproportionally as we have seen. Canada is much more middle of the pack in the wheat trade.

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                      #11
                      After a late start to the season and trouble with the fall, I am quite concerned with the storage risk with Canola. Article in the WP says there is a premium if you can sell it in the spring but that means holding a touchy crop over the winter. The higher oil contents they are breeding makes that harder and more expensive for farmers to manage.

                      Also getting a crop down to 10% moisture vs 14% (wheat) is night and day during iffy harvest weather. If that continues around here, we would have to invest in a massive drying effort along with the carbon taxes that come with it.

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                        #12
                        Originally posted by jazz View Post
                        Isnt it closer to $7?

                        Much less risk, 70bu at $5 is just about the same money as 50bu at $9.50 plus seed. More stable market perhaps. Canada is pretty much owns the canola export market so any hiccups come back to us disproportionally as we have seen. Canada is much more middle of the pack in the wheat trade.
                        Number 2.12.5 pro.
                        $5.50 this morn.

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                          #13
                          Viterra is currently taking 80 cents off for a #2, 12.5 pro. They are making a good margin and have enough willing sellers to fill trains.

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                            #14
                            Wheat with good yields and grade makes a farmer money. Seed is the reason but some want that to end. Real bright.

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                              #15
                              Originally posted by Partners View Post
                              Number 2.12.5 pro.
                              $5.50 this morn.
                              Feed wheat at a local feedlot is $5.76 for 58 lbs and dry. Deliver and paid ASAP with no grading BS

                              Comment

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