Wx / Drought

Commodity Marketing

Tools

Wx / Drought

Klause's Avatar May 17, 2019 | 11:05 1 Anybody else getting un-nerved by this?


Name:  total precip.jpg
Views: 2135
Size:  20.8 KB

Name:  precip index.jpg
Views: 2144
Size:  20.8 KB

Name:  prct of avg.jpg
Views: 2136
Size:  20.8 KB Reply With Quote
May 17, 2019 | 11:15 2 Nope because we are all in the same boat....

No sense in being an isolated spot when shit hits the fan...

Besides it's raining down east ...there is no problem....


Keep throwing 250 pounds at that 80 dollar canola seed....

This year will tell the tale.... Reply With Quote
  • 2 Likes


  • May 17, 2019 | 11:35 3 Yep, maybe time to quit seeding canola and start seeding cow-chow instead? Reply With Quote
  • 1 Like


  • May 17, 2019 | 11:39 4
    Quote Originally Posted by bucket View Post
    Nope because we are all in the same boat....

    No sense in being an isolated spot when shit hits the fan...

    Besides it's raining down east ...there is no problem....


    Keep throwing 250 pounds at that 80 dollar canola seed....

    This year will tell the tale....
    Agree .... certain Ag retailers here still pushing for Max everything... and if you tell them no , we are just putting the basics down because of two main things , exactly what Klause just posted and the complete market Fuk up by our leader Peter Pan , they almost scoff at you if you dont go along with the “max program” .
    I , and many others on here have all said this before .... the whole Ag industry here needs a boot on the ass ... we don’t live in Iowa .
    Max inputs only pay 1 in 8 or 10 years in most areas.
    You can’t properly insure for the costs of those high input programs .
    Anyway, hopefully moisture comes to dry areas. There is a very dry and dire huge area already in Western Canada as shown by those maps ...... they don’t lie .. Reply With Quote
    May 17, 2019 | 11:47 5 Yes. For cow guys in our area it's going to be another year with little to no hay. Had a start then all the frost stopped any growth. It was white everywhere this morning and very little rain. 2 tenths this week does little for dry pasture or hay. Grain guys have different problems. When or if to seed that canola. How many groceries do you throw at it. Another spring with hard decisions to make. Reply With Quote
    Klause's Avatar May 17, 2019 | 11:57 6 Those boys in Iowa can't catch a break either. Opposite end of the spectrum.

    10 day doesn't look promising for us. Or their planting.

    Name:  10 day.jpg
Views: 2110
Size:  19.2 KB Reply With Quote
    May 17, 2019 | 12:00 7 Yes , been extremely wet down there . Reply With Quote
    farmaholic's Avatar May 17, 2019 | 12:27 8 You guys....just stop and think for a second then ask yourself, "wouldn't it be nice if it didn't matter"?

    Let that reverberate in your cranium for a while. Reply With Quote
  • 1 Like


  • makar's Avatar May 17, 2019 | 12:30 9 And i am too wet i am dragging trucks in the yard with tractors and cant touch an acre.
    Last edited by makar; May 17, 2019 at 12:34.
    Reply With Quote
    May 17, 2019 | 12:50 10
    Quote Originally Posted by grassfarmer View Post
    Yep, maybe time to quit seeding canola and start seeding cow-chow instead?
    Greenfeed would be a lot easier on the combine....

    Cowboys will be licking their lips at a sub 30 bpa crop when the grain guys realize they are not making money after they look at their input bill.... Reply With Quote
    May 17, 2019 | 14:58 11 My God some of you are so dense
    Go take out your million dollar cash advance and then wait for your shitty agristability to kick in.
    No worries. Reply With Quote
  • 1 Like


  • May 17, 2019 | 16:42 12 $2 payment coming on US grown beans. Just say $6.50 future's assuming no fundamental change. Where's that put canola? Sub $8? Its the race to the bottom and noone gives a shit about supply, there's plenty. Don't fall in for the "hope" getting sold by the leeches. Reply With Quote
    May 17, 2019 | 17:46 13 In reply to the original question, yes. Reply With Quote
    May 17, 2019 | 19:50 14
    Quote Originally Posted by bucket View Post

    Keep throwing 250 pounds at that 80 dollar canola seed....

    This year will tell the tale....
    Thanks bucket I was just packing the drill with $200 an acre fert and canola seed when I saw your post. I begged dad to unload the drill and put flax in. Nope he said we have to seed canola because we got a 54 bu crop last yr. I wonder if he knew the price was almost $2 higher then. Reply With Quote
    May 17, 2019 | 21:01 15 Sometimes I write posts just to play devils advocate....to each their own ....

    There is one world of fucking hurt coming if a shower doesn't show up in the next month....I am not ready to say the fat lady is singing....but she might be gargling on the throat juice....

    I have said it many times ....no western Canadian farmer can use their equity to compete against the treasuries of other nations....Trump has thrown 12 billion at farmers with another 15 billion coming.. Reply With Quote
  • 1 Like


  • May 17, 2019 | 21:21 16 From what I have seen this week, its not canola we have to worry about. We might be putting a final nail in the lentil market once and for all. Never have I seen so many rollers going day and night. Half the acres look to be pulses of some sort here south of Regina. We only have one country for that market too. What are we doing here? Reply With Quote
    May 17, 2019 | 21:40 17
    Quote Originally Posted by farmaholic View Post
    You guys....just stop and think for a second then ask yourself, "wouldn't it be nice if it didn't matter"?

    Let that reverberate in your cranium for a while.
    I'm sure it rattles around in many of our brains many days - the option to quit. It's easier to just keep on doing what we always do though.
    Irritates the heck out of me listening to the radio when the hosts are saying how "lucky" we are to be getting these cool northerly winds as it's keeping the "icky" weather south of the border on this long weekend. So, so awfully important that the majority of society don't have to experience the inconvenience of a rain while they are on holiday - meanwhile the sector of society that grows their food works through the long weekend just desperate for that essential moisture. What a disconnect in society. Reply With Quote

  • May 17, 2019 | 21:43 18
    Quote Originally Posted by grassfarmer View Post
    I, so awfully important that the majority of society don't have to experience the inconvenience of a rain while they are on holiday
    Maybe society needs to experience the inconvenience of a few days of hunger.

    Some weird things have happening in my neck of the woods this yr. A few guys who were grabbing a lot of rented land the past 5 yrs or so, dropped it and let some new BTOs take it over. They dropped it before the canola disaster so its almost like they had a 6th sense or something was up. They are back near their yards and look happy as clams. However, some new players came in and bought a lot of high priced stuff, rented a lot more probably for $100 plus to get it out of someone's hands. Guys new to the area and some new to Canada. Maybe they are well funded but they have got to be a little concerned.
    Last edited by jazz; May 17, 2019 at 21:47.
    Reply With Quote
    farmaholic's Avatar May 17, 2019 | 22:35 19
    Quote Originally Posted by wiseguy View Post
    Farma it don't matter for those with crap insurance !

    sask crop insurance says it all gos 50 bu to thee acre even in a drought !

    50 x 10 still 500 hun an acre ! Giver er !
    Oh we're givin-er alright.

    I'm competeing with SF3'$ fertilizer rates but in the Ghetto only get two thirds to three quarters of what his crops yield in the Garden of Eden. His canola seed and fertilizer have higher rates of return than mine do...Ghettonomics.

    I'm all in.

    I won't "lose" any money farming this year because I know exactly were I spent it.

    p.s., someone tell Smother Nurture to turn the fan off! Reply With Quote
  • 1 Like


  • May 17, 2019 | 22:37 20
    Quote Originally Posted by grassfarmer View Post
    I'm sure it rattles around in many of our brains many days - the option to quit. It's easier to just keep on doing what we always do though.
    Irritates the heck out of me listening to the radio when the hosts are saying how "lucky" we are to be getting these cool northerly winds as it's keeping the "icky" weather south of the border on this long weekend. So, so awfully important that the majority of society don't have to experience the inconvenience of a rain while they are on holiday - meanwhile the sector of society that grows their food works through the long weekend just desperate for that essential moisture. What a disconnect in society.

    thats always pissed me off , i even phoned the local radio station and asked him if he knew how dry it was. that was a few years back and it was july long , fires all over .rain was in the forecast and he was whining on the radio it was gonna wreck his long weekend .i explained the errors of his ways to him.some people don't have a clue . first rain we got that year was july 20th Reply With Quote
    May 17, 2019 | 22:39 21
    Quote Originally Posted by farmaholic View Post
    Oh we're givin-er alright.

    I'm competeing with SF3'$ fertilizer rates but in the Ghetto only get two thirds to three quarters of what his crops yield in the Garden of Eden. His canola seed and fertilizer have higher rates of return than mine do...Ghettonomics.

    I'm all in.

    I won't "lose" any money farming this year because I know exactly were I spent it.

    p.s., someone tell Smother Nurture to turn the fan off!
    it was brutal wind here again , blowing right of the icebergs Reply With Quote
    May 18, 2019 | 05:20 22 Load up them inputs the bigger the expense the higher the agrimiserability payment.
    Can’t lose boys and girls all the politicians that wrecked the program say it’s the way of the land!!!
    Even those in the ghetto collecting big.
    Banker phones in the fall say hey relax buddy da checks in da mail man!!!! Reply With Quote
    farmaholic's Avatar May 18, 2019 | 05:48 23 No Crap Insurance, little chance of collecting Agrimiserability, AngryInvest is pocket change.....feels like we're going it alone in the Ghetto. And we basically are. Reply With Quote
  • 2 Likes


  • May 18, 2019 | 08:49 24 Little over 1.5 inches here since snow gone,so we are in fair condition for now,but it could warm up a whole bunch.
    Am relying on moisture deficency ins this yr as it looks bad later on,do you in sask have moisture defecency ins or just all risk ?
    I perfer this as they look in rain gague and if short they pay ,if not life is good also,no checking bins looking at your past records ect. Reply With Quote
    May 18, 2019 | 11:21 25 Yeah, but what do they use for local weather measuring sites Horse? Seem to recall that program was very unpopular when it was first introduced because it often didn't reflect the moisture that fell on your land. Reply With Quote
  • 1 Like


  • May 18, 2019 | 22:27 26
    Quote Originally Posted by grassfarmer View Post
    Yeah, but what do they use for local weather measuring sites Horse? Seem to recall that program was very unpopular when it was first introduced because it often didn't reflect the moisture that fell on your land.
    Its got a lot better with many weather sites to pick from now,you can find one close to your farm. They used to put them along the rivers and on prevaling wind routes on the end of lakes but now better.
    The way things are looking it seems like a good bet this yr,but a good storm and you get nada,better gamble than putting in crop. Reply With Quote
    May 18, 2019 | 23:19 27
    Quote Originally Posted by Horse View Post
    Its got a lot better with many weather sites to pick from now,you can find one close to your farm. They used to put them along the rivers and on prevaling wind routes on the end of lakes but now better.
    The way things are looking it seems like a good bet this yr,but a good storm and you get nada,better gamble than putting in crop.
    The weather aspect of it is probably as good as they can easily do it. The issue I have is when a payout is triggered from drought it isn’t near enough to offset the loss of feed since the value of that missing feed is higher than you’re covered for. As long you don’t really rely on it then it’s great. I consider it my gambling money without going to a casino (only been there once anyway) Reply With Quote
    iceman's Avatar May 18, 2019 | 23:49 28
    Quote Originally Posted by bucket View Post
    Greenfeed would be a lot easier on the combine....

    Cowboys will be licking their lips at a sub 30 bpa crop when the grain guys realize they are not making money after they look at their input bill....
    I will burn the bitch before I try dealing with a rancher again.

    Beyond beef for iceman Reply With Quote
  • 1 Like


  • May 19, 2019 | 01:19 29
    Quote Originally Posted by iceman View Post
    I will burn the bitch before I try dealing with a rancher again.

    Beyond beef for iceman
    Don’t paint us all with the same brush.

    Must’ve really had a bad experience to switch over to protein isolate, soy, sodium laced “discs” instead of natural protein.

    To each his own.... Bon appetite Reply With Quote
    May 19, 2019 | 01:21 30
    Quote Originally Posted by iceman View Post
    I will burn the bitch before I try dealing with a rancher again.

    Beyond beef for iceman
    Don’t paint us all with the same brush.

    Must’ve really had a bad experience to switch over to protein isolate, soy, sodium laced “discs” instead of natural protein.

    To each his own.... Bon appetite Reply With Quote