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Global Economic Cracks Widening . . . .

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    Global Economic Cracks Widening . . . .

    Economic reality continues to bubble-to-the-surface . . . .

    Global economies appear slowing to 2008 levels. U.S. retail sales were a disappointment this morning hinting the consumer is not in a spending mood. Debt is beginning to have some meaning. Consumerism is the key glue for the U.S. economy while manufacturing continues to underperform. Trade war now taking a huge toll on China, the U.S. and global economies.

    Japan's economy is on life support with few options.

    The EU may not be the EU in five (5) years. Germany now in a deepening recession.

    Low interest rate policy and negative rates no longer offer life-support . . . central bankers have simply shot-their-wad with little left in-the-barrel to manipulate markets. And now stir in political leaders with limited economic knowledge . . . .

    Equity markets may be at-risk of another late year pullback (IMO). An opinion for what it's worth . . . .

    #2
    With an aging population that doesn't purchase " stuff " anymore, and with 80% of the younger population's income going towards mortgage payments, while the rest of the consumers are maxed out on their credit cards, manufacturing is starting to go to the high idle position. Extremely low interest rates were like quick sand for most consumers. As you say, leaders have very limited economic foresight so they hit the easy button and just borrow more. I agree with your opinion.

    Comment


      #3
      so why does Trudeau think spending is the answer?

      Comment


        #4
        Originally posted by bucket View Post
        so why does Trudeau think spending is the answer?
        Trudeau doesn't think. Butts has to break Canada in preparation for UN agenda 2030.

        Comment


          #5
          Trudeau's spending can be compared to someone with a $400,000 house, a car and a $100,000 in savings. That's not good enough for him, so he goes the bank a gets a $3,000,000 loan.
          He then buys a 2,500,000 home, a $100,000 car and throws the rest of the money around hiring butlers and gardeners, buying dinner for the best of them, and always buying drinks for the house.
          Everyone thinks he's rich, everyone thinks he's doing great, he even starts believing it himself, but the fact is, it's all borrowed money, it's all fakery, it's make believe, it's a sham, and at some point,,, it'll all come crashing down.

          Comment


            #6
            Originally posted by 6V53 View Post
            Trudeau doesn't think. Butts has to break Canada in preparation for UN agenda 2030.
            Exactly, he’s determined to kill all wealth creating industries and he’s well on his way to FUBAR the country. As long as he has his trust fund why would he care he’s just a mindless pawn.

            Comment


              #7
              Originally posted by bucket View Post
              so why does Trudeau think spending is the answer?
              trudeau , think ?
              would that be an oxymoron?

              Comment


                #8
                Originally posted by 6V53 View Post
                Trudeau doesn't think. Butts has to break Canada in preparation for UN agenda 2030.
                I agree, the liberal leader is just a passenger, Butts is driving this bus, on a mountain road in the dark with no lights.

                Comment


                  #9
                  Just a moron!

                  Comment


                    #10
                    Originally posted by 6V53 View Post
                    Trudeau doesn't think. Butts has to break Canada in preparation for UN agenda 2030.
                    The truth of this statement is lost on the masses.

                    The overwhelming, vast majority of Canadians - likely could include the population of all Western nations - do not have a clue about the U.N. agendas.

                    Even among Conservatives, most likely believe in the idea of "benevolent government".

                    The left, however, are just simple fools who think that the progressives are the characterization of caring, when nothing could be further from the truth.

                    The malevolent goal of the elitist left is to grind down and pulverize western democracy into a malleable pulp, just as Lenin, Stalin and Mao did to their respective peoples.

                    An independent and free people cannot be subjugated.

                    Trudeau is the embodiment of evil.

                    Comment


                      #11
                      Originally posted by errolanderson View Post
                      Economic reality continues to bubble-to-the-surface . . . .

                      Global economies appear slowing to 2008 levels. U.S. retail sales were a disappointment this morning hinting the consumer is not in a spending mood. Debt is beginning to have some meaning. Consumerism is the key glue for the U.S. economy while manufacturing continues to underperform. Trade war now taking a huge toll on China, the U.S. and global economies.

                      Japan's economy is on life support with few options.

                      The EU may not be the EU in five (5) years. Germany now in a deepening recession.

                      Low interest rate policy and negative rates no longer offer life-support . . . central bankers have simply shot-their-wad with little left in-the-barrel to manipulate markets. And now stir in political leaders with limited economic knowledge . . . .

                      Equity markets may be at-risk of another late year pullback (IMO). An opinion for what it's worth . . . .
                      Given how much time and effort goes into building a well balanced portfolio and how difficult it is to abandon it, it's worth pointing out that there is price insurance available for equities as well.

                      When it appears the risks are serious enough to spend money on protection, put options can be purchased giving you the right to be short stock index futures.

                      Should there be a significant setback in equities, you would still have your portfolio intact at a lesser value but the loss would be offset by a gain in the put option value.

                      Something to keep in mind...

                      Comment


                        #12
                        Originally posted by burnt View Post
                        The truth of this statement is lost on the masses.

                        The overwhelming, vast majority of Canadians - likely could include the population of all Western nations - do not have a clue about the U.N. agendas.

                        Even among Conservatives, most likely believe in the idea of "benevolent government".

                        The left, however, are just simple fools who think that the progressives are the characterization of caring, when nothing could be further from the truth.

                        The malevolent goal of the elitist left is to grind down and pulverize western democracy into a malleable pulp, just as Lenin, Stalin and Mao did to their respective peoples.

                        An independent and free people cannot be subjugated.

                        Trudeau is the embodiment of evil.

                        X2 .......

                        Comment


                          #13
                          Lots of chatter in markets that U.S. rates are now headed to . . . “0”.

                          This suggests Bank of Canada may head toward negative rates like Japan and Europe within the next 18 months.

                          Comment


                            #14
                            Do negative rates force the saver to look for investments that have a return??? Like farmland????

                            $100000 dollar quarter of land returning the taxes and 3000 plus some potential capital gain looks better than negative rate....right????

                            So there are some tools left for the global market??????????
                            Last edited by bucket; Oct 18, 2019, 07:34.

                            Comment


                              #15
                              Originally posted by bucket View Post
                              Do negative rates force the saver to look for investments that have a return??? Like farmland????

                              $100000 dollar quarter of land returning the taxes and 3000 plus some potential capital gain looks better than negative rate....right????

                              So there are some tools left for the global market??????????
                              Low rates have already contributed to asset bubbles over the past five (5) years . . . luxury real estate, art, classic cars . . . but these bubbles are now deflating rapidly.

                              Manhattan real estate now under heavy selling pressure, due to vanished Chinese buying. Barrett Jackson classic car auction values have had a tune-up. Trade war tariffs creating heavy damage to markets (IMO) . . . especially asset bubbles.

                              Stock markets continue to simply be a parking lot for money, being supported by corporate buybacks, not earnings. But the Dow now appears stalled out in 2019, treading water right now. There might not be a huge traditional crash in markets . . . rather a very long and prolonged sag in markets heading into 2020 and beyond.

                              Farmland? Slowing global investment and trade tensions don't favor a near-term recovery (IMO).

                              'The Great Financial Sag' is now underway . . . .

                              Comment

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