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    #46
    Originally posted by cropgrower View Post
    glad to see that as i dont have any of this years conola sold so far !
    Yeah, my guts got twisted with this drop off as well. Just warmed up to the idea to sell a bit, and put a target in. Market tanked the next day🤣.

    Usually Christmas doldrums this time of year. Hopefully rally into the new year.

    Comment


      #47
      would like to know what has changed to make the big gain today , up around 25$ ton now

      Comment


        #48
        Originally posted by cropgrower View Post
        would like to know what has changed to make the big gain today , up around 25$ ton now
        I haven't looked at the news, but we were looking for a bounce today due to the confluence of the

        1. 61.8% retracement
        2. previous supply in July and August
        3. trends often become exhausted after nine days

        Look for a reaction in the 850-860 range.

        Click image for larger version

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        Comment


          #49
          Originally posted by wheatking16 View Post
          I haven't looked at the news, but we were looking for a bounce today due to the confluence of the

          1. 61.8% retracement
          2. previous supply in July and August
          3. trends often become exhausted after nine days

          Look for a reaction in the 850-860 range.

          [ATTACH]11501[/ATTACH]
          Good info 👍

          Comment


            #50
            Originally posted by wheatking16 View Post
            I haven't looked at the news, but we were looking for a bounce today due to the confluence of the

            1. 61.8% retracement
            2. previous supply in July and August
            3. trends often become exhausted after nine days

            Look for a reaction in the 850-860 range.

            [ATTACH]11501[/ATTACH]
            Reaction up? Or reaction down?

            Comment


              #51
              Originally posted by flea beetle View Post
              Reaction up? Or reaction down?
              I will reassess at that level but anticipate the price to slow down or reverse at the 850-860 range.

              Constantly reassessing.

              Comment


                #52
                many thanks , from a dazed and confused marketer!
                every little bit helps

                Comment


                  #53
                  Follow through buying OR OR profit taking selling! same old same old.

                  Can a dead cat keep bouncing?

                  Comment


                    #54
                    Stats can Friday.
                    If you believe them?

                    Comment


                      #55
                      Todays price action is supposedly about EPA and renewable fuels vs electric.

                      But I also saw this: Not sure about the love part though?

                      In the new #EPA proposal, #Canola is getting the love the #Soybeans are lacking...

                      Canola is now treated like a premium biofuel, on par with #SoyOil

                      The negative reaction in beans imo is likely a result of this new dynamic pricing in.

                      Comment


                        #56
                        Originally posted by AlbertaFarmer5 View Post
                        Todays price action is supposedly about EPA and renewable fuels vs electric.

                        But I also saw this: Not sure about the love part though?

                        In the new #EPA proposal, #Canola is getting the love the #Soybeans are lacking...

                        Canola is now treated like a premium biofuel, on par with #SoyOil

                        The negative reaction in beans imo is likely a result of this new dynamic pricing in.
                        Argentine sold 31 million bushel of soybeans. They got favourable currency conversion

                        Comment


                          #57
                          Another day of crash and burn just when it looked like hope.
                          Slowly ratcheting downward.
                          Last edited by Partners; Dec 1, 2022, 13:47.

                          Comment


                            #58
                            Black swan event… biodiesel reduction in fuel reducing demand… this morning…

                            Could be an over reaction considering all the jet fuel refinery projects for low carbon fuel biofuel coming on stream… however in the short term caused soybean oil to crater this morning.

                            Soybeans were up till this hit the news wires.


                            Comment


                              #59
                              https://www.agweb.com/news/policy/politics/renewable-fuels-big-week-epas-rfs-proposal-and-year-round-e15-legislation?fbclid=IwAR0VC1T0fBhQIrujE2nCdxIgN2MbG Wx8-Vo1a1PgdlVO-ExevKoSXECz4eM&mibextid=Zxz2cZ
                              Last edited by TASFarms; Dec 1, 2022, 19:41.

                              Comment


                                #60
                                Evidently todays news was actually good news for not only canola, but also canola oil from Canada:

                                Canola is another step closer to seeing major new demand from producers of advanced biofuels, as the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency has published its final rule approving the use of canola oil for renewable diesel, sustainable aviation fuel, and other advanced biofuels under the Renewable Fuel Standard (or RFS.)

                                “We thank the EPA for completing the final rule and are pleased to see that canola oil now has the pathway to help contribute to reducing GHG emissions from transportation fuels in the U.S.,” says Jim Everson, president of the Canola Council of Canada (CCC), in a statement issued December 1.

                                Compared to older biofuels, such as biodiesel, the chemistry of renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel is much closer to the fossil fuels they’re meant to replace, making them easier to use as a replacement in combustion engines. Demand for these advanced fuels is increasing as governments implement lower carbon fuel standards.

                                The CCC notes the EPA found canola-based fuels offer significantly lower lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions than fossil-based fuels — up to 90 per cent lower when compared with traditional diesel.

                                The council worked together with the Canadian Oilseed Processors Association (COPA) in supporting the U.S. Canola Association’s petition to the EPA, originally filed in 2020, to allow canola oil as a feedstock for making advanced biofuels.

                                The fact the U.S. has recognized canola oil, not just seed, as a feedstock is also significant for Canada’s canola industry, as it allows for processing to happen in Canada.

                                COPA has previously estimated 6.5 million tonnes of U.S. and Canadian canola could go toward North American biodiesel and renewable diesel production by 2030, compared to current demand of around 1.8 million tonnes.

                                Comment

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