C'mon cotton, I put my name out there a long time ago. Nothing to hide from or be afraid of, how about you?
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The Inflation Time Bomb!
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i sometimes think people feign indignation about this kind of stuff on the forums...just to bring attention to themselves...i gotta tell ya...there is far more GOOD to be had from the information on this site than a few "bad" words..i would WANT my kids to wade through a bunch of the info on these forums...and risk the odd..(inferred..lol)..vulgarity...i have listened to the kids get off the school bus...they would make cotton blush i think...lol..
gotta take cotton with a grain of salt...i dont always agree with all of his economic philosophies...but he DOES strike me as being rather intuitive...
also...i am a mod on a couple other sites..and i have learned...if you give your opinion on an open forum...about something someone else has said (flaming)..you had better be prepared because all bets are off...you didnt HAVE to opine about the conversation between Francisco and Cottonpicken...it was your choice...vs
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Perhaps you are right about being thin skinned. Ten years doing this should
have thicked my skin. Read the full Agri-ville guidelines fully however and then
the posts. The guidelines cover a lot more than the occasional four letter friend
getter.
vagabondreamer. I note your comment "its your choice". It helps me with an
ongoing discussion with Joe Dales/farms.com about choice that I am involved
in. There is room on this site to be a moderator again.
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To the original posting, I found the following interesting in the article.
"The obstacle of course is that banks (and businesses and consumers,
for that matter) are unbelievably scared. To paraphrase Will Rogers
during the Great Depression: They are much more concerned about the
return OF their principal than the return ON their principal. That is not a
good environment for monetary stimuli, we fear."
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As far as the language goes I can take it or leave it. My preference is to keep things cleaner and more respectful. I have a thick skin and can give as good as I get if the circumstances call for it but have found the conversation is usually more productive if the F Sharp's are kept to a minimum.
Back to the original post, notice the blip around the year 2000? It was pointed out on another site,
"That represents the Y2K monetary expansion, judged huge at the time. There are plenty of people who would argue that the Fed's efforts to shrink the money supply afterwards—that is, Greenspan's mopping up operation—burst the high-tech bubble, causing the last downturn. How will the Fed mop up after this expansion?"
The ride up should be fun, but the ride down the other side is what really concerns me.
And the question of when will this all kick in is what is front and centre in my mind right now.
We have a monster canola crop, and we (farmers) have been pretty disciplined about selling it so far which is why the prices are still pretty decent. But at some point guys are going to start really emptying the bins. The fundamentals aren't looking great. But outside influences such as this monetary expansion could throw all the fundamentals out the window and we're off to the races.
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The time bomb will blow alot sooner than most think.
I GURANTEE by the 3rd and 4th quarters of THIS year those fools on CNBC will be looking like the chumps they real are!! I love the way they say the "smart money" is sitting on the sidelines. Correction the "smart money" would be investing right now at bargain prices.
Is the worst over??? Nope not for a few months.
If anyone cares I'm sold as of last week, 100% on Canola for this crop year.
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http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aEDdmGcO6iqE&refer=home
Read the last sentence carefully.
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