Canola Rebound

[wheatking16]

Follow the price trend.

Current prices are approximately $1.40 above the crop year average price.

[farmaholic]

Follow the price trend.

Current prices are approximately $1.40 above the crop year average price.

If you take out the sucker punch price drops whats the crop year average price?

[wrongway]

life of july 2025 canola contract. to me it doesn't look like the average would be much different pre march 1st. also selling seasonal tendencies would have kept a person in the top 3rd...a goal that seems easy but in reality isn't.

[Sodbuster]

Basis has improved lately, much better now than last fall.

[wheatking16]

life of july 2025 canola contract. to me it doesn't look like the average would be much different pre march 1st. also selling seasonal tendencies would have kept a person in the top 3rd...a goal that seems easy but in reality isn't.

Seasonals on their own are unreliable, IMO.

Each year should be assessed on its own. IMO

[fjlip]

Heard years ago that 90% of the time Canola highs near May 1, and second chance July 1....baring any crop scare after that.

[Grain Farmer]

That was the theory yrs ago.
now its politicians screwing with tarrifs, or like turdo did pissing off countries to buy our products.
supply demand has gone out the window.

[wheatking16]

Heard years ago that 90% of the time Canola highs near May 1, and second chance July 1....baring any crop scare after that.

Seasonals create interest levels but are ineffective in making buy or sell decisions.

[wrongway]

Seasonals on their own are unreliable, IMO.

Each year should be assessed on its own. IMO

any indicator taken on its own is unreliable.
using a suite of indicators taken together to formulate a decision to sell or re own to get to selling a crop in the top third of the trading range is what i strive for. Sadly all too often my own FEELINGS come into play...hey I'm only human.

My favorite times to make cash sales is the last week in June and the week before Christmas. Grain companies seem to like to get sales on the books before big holidays.

[wheatking16]

any indicator taken on its own is unreliable.
using a suite of indicators taken together to formulate a decision to sell or re own to get to selling a crop in the top third of the trading range is what i strive for. Sadly all too often my own FEELINGS come into play...hey I'm only human.

My favorite times to make cash sales is the last week in June and the week before Christmas. Grain companies seem to like to get sales on the books before big holidays.

I hear ya.

If we could only get out of our own way.