Friday Crop Report on a Thursday Week 18

[Hamloc]

Went to Consort yesterday for parts for my silage cutter. Only good crops were between Veteran and Consort. I have never seen that before.

[AlbertaFarmer5]

Canola i suspect is worse than it looks... some varieties look like they took a real heat blasting and others seem pretty a ok.

Is anyone seeing any pattern as to what varieties are handling the heat better than others?
Seeing huge differences right across the road in many places in how the canola handled the heat.
As in hardly missing a pod, lush thick crop versus hardly a viable pod right next to each other. They're probably a lot of other factors I don't know such as seeding date etc.
I have some pioneer Roundup ready varieties next to invigor 343 which was seeded a few days earlier. The 343 is hardly showing any damage from the heat. The Roundup ready varieties have mostly deformed small and missing pods. But a few days made a huge difference this year. Elsewhere I have one of those same pioneer varieties and it hasn't suffered at all from the heat.

Probably would have been a good year to tour the plots.

i firmly believe early seeded crops ( pre may 10th) are going to be borderline crop insurance covg levels and later will be better.
Those squirrely guys who dont get started til may long will be the definite winners this yr.

Complete opposite here. The latest seeded crops are a disaster. And usually it is the other way around.

[WiltonRanch]

Went to Consort yesterday for parts for my silage cutter. Only good crops were between Veteran and Consort. I have never seen that before.

Travelled same route. Unbelievable how good that country is. Usually half dried out this time of year.

[shtferbrains]

Used to market cattle at Veteran.

They warned me never send any large sized bred cows there as there were no bidders.
Real cattle country.

Further to haul but not Nielsen Brothers.

[biglentil]

If I had a penny for everytime I heard mud is a dud. I sure would like to see some of its dudlieness right now.

[helmsdale]

What do I win?

There's gotta be an upside somewhere... Crop insurance insured at $10.30/bu, and current offer is $8.40, with somewhere around $0.60 trucking involved. Even if i haul it myself, where's the incentive? 20% looks something like this. another 60% was gunning for 40+ and decided to abort 1/2 -> 2/3 of the head. That leaves sloughs and water runs as having some sort of potential.

At least here, I see *this year* everything should have been in the ground between April 25th and May 5th, even though it was freezing every night until the first few days of may.

Current guess:
CWAD: early (pre may 5th) pushes high 20s. mid (may 20-june 1) does 12-18, anything after June 1 looks like it'll be mid single digits at best.
Peas: if you got them in early (pre may 20), you'll run 18-35 with earlier being better. Anything after that is less than 20.
Mustard/(canola): if in may 1-25 theres potential for 12/(35), and if its in after that? probably sub 5/(sub 20)

This is becoming tiresome...

[goalieguy847]

That stinks. Is this multiple years in a row?

We had 3 straight yrs of claims on peas. Moved over to fabas instead...seem to handle the wet years better ( maybe the heat?).
complete crapshoot.

Then your premiums go up... yield avg goes down..etc.etc. farming for insurance money sucks. Its a drain on the bank...drain on the farm..
drain on the psyche.

Sometimes it seems like letting someone rent it all and take that risk might be a better play...

I guess this is the nature of the beast.

[makar]

Anyone else but me see renting out more of their land next year?

[helmsdale]

That stinks. Is this multiple years in a row?

Yes. The last year we grew an across the board average on all crops was 2019. The last year we had at least one crop average well was peas in 2020.

[seldomseen]

Well my wife thinks I should cut back some. She thinks we should spend more time with the Grandkids and she is probably right. Getting out of the cutter bees would be a good first step.
Our land was always hard to get and took years to pay for. Won’t be easy to let go.