I know perhaps it's frustrating that sometimes the demands for answers aren't met by me. I take full responsibility for this. There is a barrage of messages to this site, and some of the requests are burdensome as I do not work in the head office in Winnipeg. Consequently, I make some judgment calls on what is valuable and contributes to the intent of the site and what is asked of me as a moderator. I don’t volunteer to be a cyber punching bag. Remember, moderators contribute their time freely, and unreasonable demands should not elicit slander or negative comments.
This is lengthy, and I risk spawning another barrage of responses, but I feel compelled to address the points in this thread and clarify:
- CWB pricing to domestic mills is on a transparent, competitive North American basis. With approximately 30% of Canada's milling capacity in western Canada, and a higher milling rate in Canada per capita than the US (32.5 bu/person/yr in US versus 35 bu/person/yr in Cda) it's hard to make the argument that the CWB pricing inhibits value-added on the Prairies. In the past few years, new mills in Elie, Red Deer, and Regina and expansions to mills in Saskatoon and Lethbridge are testament to the fairness of the domestic pricing for these businesses.
- the CWB of today is not the CWB of the 1980's or 1990's.
- Pricing to any commercial mill (farmer-owned or otherwise) differently than to the rest of the mills isn't sustainable - too high and they are uncompetitive. Too low and trade challenges from the US or challenges from domestic competitors would result. The domestic Cdn market is farmers’ largest customer, and the CWB would like to see that expand, but not at the expense of farmers return for their grain. Remember, value-added, not value-subtracted.
- basil - the CWB isn’t a regulator for the sake of regulation. Export guidelines are for the sole purpose of ensuring returns to farmers are maximized and the value of the single desk is optimized for farmers.
- the current spread on CWES on the PRO reflects the fact that returns from markets other than the US are significantly lower. The US is taking about 10% of what Cdn farmers grow of CWES and this amount has been slowly shrinking over the past couple of years. So comparing the Producer Direct Sale values for CWES and CWRS to what the PRO is forecasting for values for CWES and CWRS could be confusing as these products are getting different values from different markets. No CWES is going to Japan, for example. The customer is always right, and the CWB responsibly is reflecting what the market is indicating overall.
- Fear over policy changes in domestic pricing is unwarranted. Current policy has been developed in conjunction with the Cdn National Millers Ass’n, and any change would not leave any mill uncompetitive on a North American basis.
- Mills in western Canada regularly source directly from farmers, and can pay a premium for sourcing if they so choose. It’s misinformation to indicate they don’t or can’t source the product directly. The pricing is through the CWB, but sourcing can be independent if the mill wants that. Regarding the reference to a Board order to mills in 1994 ( I haven’t researched this, so I don’t have the Board order that parsley referred to), I surmise that there were higher values for high protein wheat in other markets (likely Japan) so the CWB took steps to ensure returns were maximized for farmers.
- parsley’s example of pearling barley for a European export destination is another example of where the market value of the product will be captured for the benefit of all producers. The CWB Producer Direct Export program is not intended to restrict access to markets, but single desk selling isn’t in place to create huge arbitrage opportunities with the pool account for individuals. If the farmer negotiates a higher value than the CWB can get in the marketplace - by providing specific product, or other direct customer relationship benefit- the farmer keeps that amount.
- pgluca - the CWB Directors have considered dry matter pricing, and haven’t discarded this notion. The cost to revise computer systems to support this is considerable, so this will be revisited in the future. The CWB Directors want to ensure there is more benefit than cost to move forward on this one.
- regarding ‘subsidizing low protein wheat farmers’ - Very few customers directly want wheat over 14.5% protein. The value of 14.5 to 15.5 % is primarily the blending value to handlers, not intrinsic value to end-users. Therefore, the notion that there is intrinsic value to the highest protein from every customer is a bit of a stretch. Protein premiums are also a function of supply and demand - low protein in the US HRW crop likely indicates higher protein premiums for the coming year. The pooled returns at the end of the year reflect the appropriate grade spreads from all markets over the whole marketing period, regardless of when in the year the farmer delivered. Risk of the timing of delivery, and risk of not accessing higher value markets is removed by price pooling.
- Tom4cwb - one of the points you made was that you want the CWB to work to compete for your grain - high value markets will gladly go direct to farmers to pay less than the CWB charges - is that good for farmers?
- the formula for the Producer Direct Sales values to the US is based on Minneapolis cash values and recent comparable trading values for a particular product.
-tom4cwb - human consumption wheat or barley is part of the CWB’s mandate for marketing. Human consumption is determined by discovering the end use. This is why the CWB requires information about the destination on a Producer Direct Sale - to ensure it collects the appropriate value (feed or human consumption value) on behalf of the balance of farmers through the pool account.
- Regarding the speculation of an increase in wheat acres in Ont - I say it has more to do with the current market conditions and upside potential for wheat compared to other crops than any program revisions by the OWPMB. Speculation is for higher wheat acres in western Canada as well.
- Ontario wheat marketing is hardly comparable to western Canadian wheat marketing. The size of the crop is about 1 million tonnes per year, there is about 50-60% or more consumed domestically, and it is largely soft and lower quality wheat. They have pressure to move the crop quickly to make room for corn, as wheat is not the dominant crop in the producing area.
- Regarding the 1980’s situation regarding the federal govt. ordered the CWB to provide export licenses to Ontario, I have no idea.
Tom
This is lengthy, and I risk spawning another barrage of responses, but I feel compelled to address the points in this thread and clarify:
- CWB pricing to domestic mills is on a transparent, competitive North American basis. With approximately 30% of Canada's milling capacity in western Canada, and a higher milling rate in Canada per capita than the US (32.5 bu/person/yr in US versus 35 bu/person/yr in Cda) it's hard to make the argument that the CWB pricing inhibits value-added on the Prairies. In the past few years, new mills in Elie, Red Deer, and Regina and expansions to mills in Saskatoon and Lethbridge are testament to the fairness of the domestic pricing for these businesses.
- the CWB of today is not the CWB of the 1980's or 1990's.
- Pricing to any commercial mill (farmer-owned or otherwise) differently than to the rest of the mills isn't sustainable - too high and they are uncompetitive. Too low and trade challenges from the US or challenges from domestic competitors would result. The domestic Cdn market is farmers’ largest customer, and the CWB would like to see that expand, but not at the expense of farmers return for their grain. Remember, value-added, not value-subtracted.
- basil - the CWB isn’t a regulator for the sake of regulation. Export guidelines are for the sole purpose of ensuring returns to farmers are maximized and the value of the single desk is optimized for farmers.
- the current spread on CWES on the PRO reflects the fact that returns from markets other than the US are significantly lower. The US is taking about 10% of what Cdn farmers grow of CWES and this amount has been slowly shrinking over the past couple of years. So comparing the Producer Direct Sale values for CWES and CWRS to what the PRO is forecasting for values for CWES and CWRS could be confusing as these products are getting different values from different markets. No CWES is going to Japan, for example. The customer is always right, and the CWB responsibly is reflecting what the market is indicating overall.
- Fear over policy changes in domestic pricing is unwarranted. Current policy has been developed in conjunction with the Cdn National Millers Ass’n, and any change would not leave any mill uncompetitive on a North American basis.
- Mills in western Canada regularly source directly from farmers, and can pay a premium for sourcing if they so choose. It’s misinformation to indicate they don’t or can’t source the product directly. The pricing is through the CWB, but sourcing can be independent if the mill wants that. Regarding the reference to a Board order to mills in 1994 ( I haven’t researched this, so I don’t have the Board order that parsley referred to), I surmise that there were higher values for high protein wheat in other markets (likely Japan) so the CWB took steps to ensure returns were maximized for farmers.
- parsley’s example of pearling barley for a European export destination is another example of where the market value of the product will be captured for the benefit of all producers. The CWB Producer Direct Export program is not intended to restrict access to markets, but single desk selling isn’t in place to create huge arbitrage opportunities with the pool account for individuals. If the farmer negotiates a higher value than the CWB can get in the marketplace - by providing specific product, or other direct customer relationship benefit- the farmer keeps that amount.
- pgluca - the CWB Directors have considered dry matter pricing, and haven’t discarded this notion. The cost to revise computer systems to support this is considerable, so this will be revisited in the future. The CWB Directors want to ensure there is more benefit than cost to move forward on this one.
- regarding ‘subsidizing low protein wheat farmers’ - Very few customers directly want wheat over 14.5% protein. The value of 14.5 to 15.5 % is primarily the blending value to handlers, not intrinsic value to end-users. Therefore, the notion that there is intrinsic value to the highest protein from every customer is a bit of a stretch. Protein premiums are also a function of supply and demand - low protein in the US HRW crop likely indicates higher protein premiums for the coming year. The pooled returns at the end of the year reflect the appropriate grade spreads from all markets over the whole marketing period, regardless of when in the year the farmer delivered. Risk of the timing of delivery, and risk of not accessing higher value markets is removed by price pooling.
- Tom4cwb - one of the points you made was that you want the CWB to work to compete for your grain - high value markets will gladly go direct to farmers to pay less than the CWB charges - is that good for farmers?
- the formula for the Producer Direct Sales values to the US is based on Minneapolis cash values and recent comparable trading values for a particular product.
-tom4cwb - human consumption wheat or barley is part of the CWB’s mandate for marketing. Human consumption is determined by discovering the end use. This is why the CWB requires information about the destination on a Producer Direct Sale - to ensure it collects the appropriate value (feed or human consumption value) on behalf of the balance of farmers through the pool account.
- Regarding the speculation of an increase in wheat acres in Ont - I say it has more to do with the current market conditions and upside potential for wheat compared to other crops than any program revisions by the OWPMB. Speculation is for higher wheat acres in western Canada as well.
- Ontario wheat marketing is hardly comparable to western Canadian wheat marketing. The size of the crop is about 1 million tonnes per year, there is about 50-60% or more consumed domestically, and it is largely soft and lower quality wheat. They have pressure to move the crop quickly to make room for corn, as wheat is not the dominant crop in the producing area.
- Regarding the 1980’s situation regarding the federal govt. ordered the CWB to provide export licenses to Ontario, I have no idea.
Tom
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