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Canola Price

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  • jazz
    Senior Member
    • Jul 2018
    • 9308

    #31
    Originally posted by Partners View Post
    Lock the bins?
    Maybe should have emptied them at $ 20.50..?
    Moved half of the canola off the combine this fall.

    $19 and change is an automatic sell in my world.

    I am pretty sure it can get there again by spring but $25 is probably gone for good.

    Mean reversion is a much more powerful force than supply demand.

    Comment

    • LWeber
      Senior Member
      • Nov 2007
      • 1432

      #32
      Originally posted by jazz View Post

      Mean reversion is a much more powerful force than supply demand.
      Click image for larger version

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      the broken red line is trend...

      Comment

      • Old Cowzilla
        Senior Member
        • Nov 2020
        • 1579

        #33
        Hope your not looking at $400 Canola down the road might as well buy some crypto stock and get it overwith.

        Comment

        • makar
          Senior Member
          • Jan 2007
          • 1693

          #34
          Originally posted by jazz View Post
          Moved half of the canola off the combine this fall.

          $19 and change is an automatic sell in my world.

          I am pretty sure it can get there again by spring but $25 is probably gone for good.

          Mean reversion is a much more powerful force than supply demand.
          Dumped mine after harvest 19.40 no regrets, survival trumps greed here, hauling barely for 7.82, never made so much money.

          Comment

          • Landdownunder
            Senior Member
            • Mar 2021
            • 1825

            #35
            Poke me in the eye with a blunt stick that’s high.
            Click image for larger version

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            • TOM4CWB
              Senior Member
              • Dec 2000
              • 16511

              #36
              High and dry!!!! Hope they will pay for the extra oil!

              Comment

              • AlbertaFarmer5
                Senior Member
                • Oct 2010
                • 12553

                #37
                Originally posted by Landdownunder View Post
                Poke me in the eye with a blunt stick that’s high.
                [ATTACH]11479[/ATTACH]
                3.9% moisture. What is considered officially dry in Australia? Is the weight adjusted up to dry, or it is what it is?

                I'm assuming you've never had the pleasure of harvesting and storing canola with moisture in the high teens?

                Comment

                • Landdownunder
                  Senior Member
                  • Mar 2021
                  • 1825

                  #38
                  use base price of $1000 per tonne

                  1.5% of base price per 1% increase in oil over 42%

                  dry yeah I guess yesterday just over the limit 8.2% but got blended rejection at 8.5% but officially its 8

                  edit this year no cap on high side or low side of protien

                  Comment

                  • Landdownunder
                    Senior Member
                    • Mar 2021
                    • 1825

                    #39
                    looks like we have decent run weather wise looks great short and medium term a great 4 week outlook

                    even 36c one day next week

                    perfect for guys like me one combine almost 7000 acres tis what it is

                    Comment

                    • tubs
                      Senior Member
                      • Jan 2007
                      • 486

                      #40
                      Originally posted by Landdownunder View Post
                      looks like we have decent run weather wise looks great short and medium term a great 4 week outlook

                      even 36c one day next week

                      perfect for guys like me one combine almost 7000 acres tis what it is
                      How many hours do you runthat combine a year for that many acres you would need 3 or 4 big savings in comparison goodluck

                      Comment

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