Originally posted by TASFarms
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Lol. Grain buyers only see record crops and never any need for the price to go up. Right now they are likely correct. Wish I made more sales in Dec for Jan/Feb movement. China's economy is sinking and they are able to access discounted Russian commodities (up to a volume determined by constrained shipping avenues) so likely a bearish factor. Truck was heavier than I though this morning so ended up selling spot wheat today.Last edited by ajl; Jan 19, 2023, 12:29.
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An opinion, canola now technically oversold.
Argentina rain appeared a key factor plus quiet China business this week for Lunar holiday and long liquidation. Panic selling is never fun to watch, but it is a short-lived emotion. Emotion makes for volatility.
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Technical Selloff Tip: Growers / Feeders note . . . . When commodity futures go into-a-dive, the technical chart recovery is often seen between 50 to 66% of the drop before key resistance seen again. But this also suggests the overall trading window (range) is now lower.
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The closing bell battle at $800/MT today, chart resistance or support . . . . Big picture range now $770/MT to $830/MT? Pick em . . . .
Crude oil and loonie may have a say . . . .
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It always amuses me how much power these round number psychological levels can have. Considering that it's a purely arbitrary unit of measure in a purely arbitrary currency, and in this case, most of the market participants are using a completely different unit of measure.Originally posted by errolanderson View PostThe closing bell battle at $800/MT today, chart resistance or support . . . . Big picture range now $770/MT to $830/MT? Pick em . . . .
Crude oil and loonie may have a say . . . .
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Thanks Errol and Wheatking for your insights and knowledge. Should have sold more at 19.70 but was incremental selling into a rising market. Wheat you had mentioned earlier canola would top $860 $870 before dropping off. Shoulda woulda coulda.
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