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DEFLATION: Comin-in strong

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  • biglentil
    Senior Member
    • Jun 2015
    • 3341

    Modern 'economists' trained in the Keynsian school have been duped into believing inflation is normal, a good thing and the deflation boogeyman is this biggest threat always just around the corner. But there is no doubt central bank policy is responsible for boom and bust cycles.

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    Last edited by biglentil; Jan 20, 2023, 07:52.

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    • errolanderson
      Senior Member
      • Jan 2012
      • 3162

      Originally posted by biglentil View Post
      Modern 'economists' trained in the Keynsian school have been duped into believing inflation is normal, a good thing and the deflation boogeyman is this biggest threat always just around the corner. But there is no doubt central bank policy is responsible for boom and bust cycles.

      [ATTACH]11798[/ATTACH][ATTACH]11799[/ATTACH]
      Keynes economics and protecting Wall Street at-all-cost is what got us to this incredible mess. It should have been dealt with years ago. But 'pay me now' and 'banker greed' continued to kick-the-can down the road. U.S. debt ceiling if stonewalled, could hammer global markets, both equities and commodities. A time bomb. Market channels continue to dance around this issue.

      There will be a changing of the financial guard. Those with cash may pick up assets pennies-on-the-dollar. Excessive debt is a financial killer. The recession / depression ahead may take years for recovery (IMO) . . . .

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      • biglentil
        Senior Member
        • Jun 2015
        • 3341

        Originally posted by errolanderson View Post
        Keynes economics and protecting Wall Street at-all-cost is what got us to this incredible mess. It should have been dealt with years ago. But 'pay me now' and 'banker greed' continued to kick-the-can down the road. U.S. debt ceiling if stonewalled, could hammer global markets, both equities and commodities. A time bomb. Market channels continue to dance around this issue.

        There will be a changing of the financial guard. Those with cash may pick up assets pennies-on-the-dollar. Excessive debt is a financial killer. The recession / depression ahead may take years for recovery (IMO) . . . .
        You are much more optimistic than myself. The BOC has stated they are committed to hiking rates until cpi is below 2% all while they inflate the money supply at the fastest rate ever. There is no putting the bubble they have created with MMT back in the box, this is controlled demolition to usher in CBDC. Banks are already expecting 10000's of thousands of Canadians to default on there mortgages, i think it could be alot higher. From footage ive watched out of the FDIC bankers are preparing for a bail in. The potential for a large haircut off the top of savings is high and there is the potential for banks to be wiped out completely. CDIC only has assets to protect less than 1% of all deposits. What might seem like a developing opportunity for those with savings may turn into a nightmare.

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        • TASFarms
          Senior Member
          • Feb 2014
          • 1382

          Originally posted by biglentil View Post
          You are much more optimistic than myself. The BOC has stated they are committed to hiking rates until cpi is below 2% all while they inflate the money supply at the fastest rate ever. There is no putting the bubble they have created with MMT back in the box, this is controlled demolition to usher in CBDC. Banks are already expecting 10000's of thousands of Canadians to default on there mortgages, i think it could be alot higher. From footage ive watched out of the FDIC bankers are preparing for a bail in. The potential for a large haircut off the top of savings is high and there is the potential for banks to be wiped out completely. CDIC only has assets to protect less than 1% of all deposits. What might seem like a developing opportunity for those with savings may turn into a nightmare.
          Some US banks have close to 1 billion in credit losses estimates on their forecasts

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          • shtferbrains
            Senior Member
            • Jun 2017
            • 5341

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            There are opportunities?

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            • errolanderson
              Senior Member
              • Jan 2012
              • 3162

              Originally posted by shtferbrains View Post
              [ATTACH]11801[/ATTACH]k

              There are opportunities?
              With inflation dying out, tread long gold positions carefully . . . including copper (IMO).
              Last edited by errolanderson; Jan 20, 2023, 11:48.

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              • Old Cowzilla
                Senior Member
                • Nov 2020
                • 1620

                Inflation dying out ,not for me. Compared to one year ago I am paying more for Hydro, Phone, food, house ins. farm ins. , land taxes, carbon taxes, Vet fee's meds, trucking , shop rates, bank int. , bank fee's , equipment purchases ( new or well used ) parts at the (red , green , yellow, and blue dealerships ). Nat gas may be dropping but that does not mean I will get a big cut in my nitrogen purchases . Nat gas has been almost free several times in the last 40 years but never dropped fert price. Real life lasts longer than media's attention.

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                • sawfly1
                  Senior Member
                  • Sep 2016
                  • 947

                  Not buying anyting shiney new. No need after down sizeing. Priced a Rem Vac.paid 25 in 14 for one. Now 48. Same vac. And parts . Wow
                  CASE and lex have no shame for sure.
                  Case. gasket used on 1.000s of tractors. Last one 3 years ago 12$ now 48$ a bevile washer 40$.At Lex feeder chain ,narrow one 3500$
                  Had a double hyd pump repair at private
                  Hyd shop . And they were more than fair.
                  If the rest of the industrys start to gouge like the AG boys are . Look out.

                  Comment

                  • biglentil
                    Senior Member
                    • Jun 2015
                    • 3341

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                    • fcr
                      Senior Member
                      • Feb 2021
                      • 594

                      Two years ago bought duck foot tines from combine world for $ 80 a box.Last year they apologized for having to charge $100 a box.This year $160 , who is profiting from the 100% price increase.

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