Friday Crop Report on a Thursday!

[helmsdale]

Is there a more current drought / flood condition map available?

The Liberal map is only current to Apr:.
https://agriculture.canada.ca/en/agriculture-and-environment/drought-watch-and-agroclimate/canadian-drought-monitor

Should be out today or tomorrow.

As with new seasonal outlooks from environment canada

[TOM4CWB]

Is there a more current drought / flood condition map available?

The Liberal map is only current to Apr:.
https://agriculture.canada.ca/en/agriculture-and-environment/drought-watch-and-agroclimate/canadian-drought-monitor

The weather network published this with the summer forecast:

[TOM4CWB]

The weather network published this with the summer done this morning:

US forecasts

[TOM4CWB]

Current Drought Monitor

[TOM4CWB]

Current Drought Monitor

Major Precipitation drivers this Summer

[TOM4CWB]

CDN Praire Precipitation drivers this Summer

[bucket]

near normal in this area of temperature or rainfall will not grow an average crop.


And the longer it takes for a rain the harder it will be for the crop to recover.

[jazz]

The weather network and other forecasters have no idea about normal this or that. The entire western half of the grain belt needs a drink like right now. Its not going to matter if they get rains a month from now.

There is a 2 week dry pattern setting up and temps rising later this week.

Cant help but think this year is really going to put some guys under some financial duress.

[jazz]

But 50 or 100 years out? We got that shit down to the tenth of a degree!

helmsdale, that statement will bring dml into the thread to explain the difference between weather and climate.

[helmsdale]

Things I'm thinking about as I finish up the last couple acres today.

1) Early seeded crops are going to be in BIG trouble if we dont see rain till the back half of June

2) Late seeded crops will be in big trouble maturity wise if we "break the seal" in the back half of june, and it doesn't quit.

3) Anybody that typically relies on a "stored grain advance" in the fall to pay bills which is in a SERIOUS moisture deficit might want to consider taking a "seeded acre advance" that's repayable with crop insurance proceeds before it's too late to sign up. Sure it's money borrowed against your crop insurance payout, but there is ABSOLUTELY no guarantee as to when crop insurance is going to get around to settling up. Hell this last year they were well into February around here doing bin measurements for final settlements!

4) Anybody putting chemical on "layaway" with input suppliers that is due the end of september might want to consider either ensuring they have enough cash advance, or getting on the FCC input LOC train.

There are likely other things I'm not thinking of, but if there literally isn't any grain to sell this fall for bill coverage, it's likely best to assume that crop insurance isn't going to settle in time.

This is going to be year 2 for me, year 3 for the in-laws, and year 4 for guys further to the SE. I've heard this particular fellar on here say, "it's just a crop", and he's right... Just make sure your ducks are in a row before you are backed into a corner. A clear head NOW is significantly better than a distressed head in 3 months time!