Fertilizer prices today will bankrupt most farms with a hiccup next year. PERIOD!

[SASKFARMER]

Woke up looked at the bank account and smiled a big smile. Life is Good!



Paid for the shit today.



Can't stop crying, it's like someone died that I love.

[shtferbrains]

There is a urea futures market at;

UMAc1

From Middle East as lots of production there due to stranded gas but no market so all export.
Might be usefull to keep track of price direction an maybe local basis?

On the chart appears price more than double since end of Sept.

Some other usefull data there.

[furrowtickler]

$45+ per acre for oat seed too if you have to buy

Good luck finding decent seed

[jazz]

Soil tests came back with very little residual

Thats weird, same here. After having quite a build up of residual N over the past few yrs, all of a sudden she is all low after an average crop year with little moisture. And I had 2 different companies test this time just to make sure they werent fcking me.

Option to go more lentils but that would break rotation and probably result in a yeild hit and another round of fungicide. I guess a second pass of fungicide is better than a $50 an acre increase in fertility costs.

No easy answers out there, and now we have all committed to growing in a higher input environment without the back end being covered. Risky.

[Taiga]

Going to get a couple prices today. Will post what I find out. If N price is $1200 that will be 2.5x the cost of last year. That makes it about $50+/ac more just for nitrogen. Sure seems like we are losing before we start. No snow here yet.

Also, saw on Twitter a thread about wall to wall oats cause they were $10/bu. Not sure these guys have looked into new crop prices. Around $5.50/bu here for fall. Guys chasing markets and high inputs costs maybe should be careful.

$45+ per acre for oat seed too if you have to buy

[4GFarms]

Going to get a couple prices today. Will post what I find out. If N price is $1200 that will be 2.5x the cost of last year. That makes it about $50+/ac more just for nitrogen. Sure seems like we are losing before we start. No snow here yet.

Also, saw on Twitter a thread about wall to wall oats cause they were $10/bu. Not sure these guys have looked into new crop prices. Around $5.50/bu here for fall. Guys chasing markets and high inputs costs maybe should be careful.

I read an article this morning that Yara is restarting plants in the Netherlands after routine maintenance but still not restarting other plants in the EU due to natural gas price and availability.

My fertilizer costs are up $45 an acre over last year and I am putting on roughly 10% less than last year. I also don’t put on as much as some on here apparently do. Looks like cost per acre will be up somewhere between $75 and $100 per acre when all inputs taken into account. Certainly an elevated level of risk. Soil tests came back with very little residual

no one is putting on what they did before , numbnuts wins , consumers will lose

bought 46 at $1190 , but only half of normal, my arse hurts

[Hamloc]

I read an article this morning that Yara is restarting plants in the Netherlands after routine maintenance but still not restarting other plants in the EU due to natural gas price and availability.

My fertilizer costs are up $45 an acre over last year and I am putting on roughly 10% less than last year. I also don’t put on as much as some on here apparently do. Looks like cost per acre will be up somewhere between $75 and $100 per acre when all inputs taken into account. Certainly an elevated level of risk. Soil tests came back with very little residual

[SASKFARMER]

I love the bullshit.

Let's hear 1100 then 1200 then 1300 at this rate it will be 3300 by seeding if they keep the same game going of 100 a ton week increases.