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Canola Demand Rationing

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  • farming101
    Senior Member
    • Mar 2011
    • 3954

    #21
    China r a p e seed oil 2 yr nearby chart
    Click image for larger version

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    • furrowtickler
      Senior Member
      • Dec 2004
      • 21856

      #22
      Interesting to see all the charts , thanks 👍👍

      Comment

      • wheatking16
        Senior Member
        • Apr 2010
        • 553

        #23
        Originally posted by jazz View Post
        So WK, in a few words, canola toppy or not?

        I dont really want to hold until January. I am very concerned about the broader economy and how that could pull things down.

        The chart feels toppy to me and also considering the corn, soybean and wheat charts.

        The weekly Canola chart is in a no-trade zone for me as I am waiting for it to either resolve higher with a weekly close above the green line or a weekly close below the red line.

        Click image for larger version

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        The Daily Chart has today's candle below the 50 Day Moving Average. The green 50 DMA is still advancing so I anticipate some sideways price action. I get bearish once that 50 DMA rolls over and a new Daily close low is made.

        Different charts can tell different stories.

        Which chart you use depends on your timeframe.

        Click image for larger version

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        Klarenbach Report
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        Last edited by wheatking16; Sep 9, 2021, 09:12.

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        • furrowtickler
          Senior Member
          • Dec 2004
          • 21856

          #24
          Thank you guys for breathing new life into this commodity market forum 👍👍

          Comment

          • SASKFARMER
            Senior Member
            • Dec 2005
            • 6943

            #25
            The truth is cupboards are bare but they are getting fed lots of cheap 12 to 15 dollar canola that was prepriced

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            • furrowtickler
              Senior Member
              • Dec 2004
              • 21856

              #26
              Originally posted by SASKFARMER View Post
              The truth is cupboards are bare but they are getting fed lots of cheap 12 to 15 dollar canola that was prepriced
              Unfortunately that is the reality this year

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              • wheatking16
                Senior Member
                • Apr 2010
                • 553

                #27
                Nasty red candle on the Canola daily chart.


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                • wheatking16
                  Senior Member
                  • Apr 2010
                  • 553

                  #28
                  Originally posted by jwab
                  Almost every time I see the red candle on that chart it’s the start of a rally, no?
                  Maybe it will rally again.
                  Last edited by wheatking16; Sep 9, 2021, 19:43.

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                  • AlbertaFarmer5
                    Senior Member
                    • Oct 2010
                    • 12486

                    #29
                    Originally posted by jwab
                    Almost every time I see the red candle on that chart it’s the start of a rally, no?
                    I saw the same pattern and came to the same conclusion when he first posted the chart. Not sure I can take that to the bank though. Perhaps the USDA will surprise us all tomorrow and the pattern will hold.

                    Comment

                    • AlbertaFarmer5
                      Senior Member
                      • Oct 2010
                      • 12486

                      #30
                      Originally posted by AlbertaFarmer5 View Post
                      I saw the same pattern and came to the same conclusion when he first posted the chart. Not sure I can take that to the bank though. Perhaps the USDA will surprise us all tomorrow and the pattern will hold.
                      So far so good. Yesterday's Big Red bar followed by up 17 so far. Report wasn't particularly positive grains but they responded positively. Canola along for the ride.
                      Last edited by AlbertaFarmer5; Sep 10, 2021, 11:59.

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