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Fast Moving Incoming Recession . . . .

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  • biglentil
    Senior Member
    • Jun 2015
    • 3261

    #41
    Originally posted by errolanderson View Post
    USD (IMO) . . . gold / silver in-trouble as deflation is not friendly to precious metals.
    Thanks Errol you are the contrarian indicator I needed to go all in. Just like how right when you called inflation dead it had a rip your face off rally. I've been calling for stagflation for over a year and what do we see...
    Last edited by biglentil; Sep 3, 2021, 09:52.

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    • AlbertaFarmer5
      Senior Member
      • Oct 2010
      • 12521

      #42
      Errol, what are your thoughts on fertilizer prices going forward?
      Well many other commodities seem to have peaked, fertilizer doesn't seem to have received the deflationary message yet. Can the fertilizers continue to chart their own path?

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      • errolanderson
        Senior Member
        • Jan 2012
        • 3126

        #43
        Originally posted by AlbertaFarmer5 View Post
        Errol, what are your thoughts on fertilizer prices going forward?
        Well many other commodities seem to have peaked, fertilizer doesn't seem to have received the deflationary message yet. Can the fertilizers continue to chart their own path?
        Sorry, no clue and out-of-my-wheelhouse . . . .

        A general commodity pullback should have some price impact.

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        • WiltonRanch
          Senior Member
          • Jul 2012
          • 4512

          #44
          So Errol what does oats know?

          Comment

          • errolanderson
            Senior Member
            • Jan 2012
            • 3126

            #45
            Originally posted by WiltonRanch View Post
            So Errol what does oats know?
            Very strong market. U.S. buyers will be short through winter and scrambling. Don’t see downside in this market likely through fall/early winter. 2CW bids $5.50/bu plus in Sk/Mb. Even light oats, very strong bids.

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            • farming101
              Senior Member
              • Mar 2011
              • 3954

              #46
              Originally posted by farming101 View Post
              Dow high on Aug 16 - 35,631.19. Suspecting it will stand. There now I said it, watch it go up some more. A 10% pullback certainly not out of the question.
              A little over a 5 percent pullback and off to the races again...35,669.69

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              • AlbertaFarmer5
                Senior Member
                • Oct 2010
                • 12521

                #47
                Originally posted by farming101 View Post
                A little over a 5 percent pullback and off to the races again...35,669.69
                Have to give Errol credit for putting his predictions out there in public for all to see. It's easy to be a monday morning quarterback, like so many do.

                Not sure anything is predictable at this time. Throw out the book, uncharted waters.

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                • wheatking16
                  Senior Member
                  • Apr 2010
                  • 557

                  #48
                  Originally posted by AlbertaFarmer5 View Post
                  Have to give Errol credit for putting his predictions out there in public for all to see. It's easy to be a monday morning quarterback, like so many do.

                  Not sure anything is predictable at this time. Throw out the book, uncharted waters.

                  US regional banks are making new highs.

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                  TSX is also at ATH.

                  I am getting far more bullish than bearish signals.

                  Of course, that can change quickly.

                  Can we have both a recession and a stock market at ATH?

                  Comment

                  • errolanderson
                    Senior Member
                    • Jan 2012
                    • 3126

                    #49
                    Originally posted by wheatking16 View Post
                    US regional banks are making new highs.

                    [ATTACH]8959[/ATTACH]


                    TSX is also at ATH.

                    I am getting far more bullish than bearish signals.

                    Of course, that can change quickly.

                    Can we have both a recession and a stock market at ATH?

                    Strap-in, markets may be in for harsh price volatility straight ahead. Massive global debt crisis is now being introduced to the new kid on the block; inflation. Who is going to beat on who?

                    Comment

                    • sumdumguy
                      Senior Member
                      • Mar 2007
                      • 11977

                      #50
                      Vix is at $15.44, almost half of the $26 it was a mere month ago. This looks like its in the historic low zone. Guess no one sees a major upheaval coming.
                      Last edited by sumdumguy; Oct 21, 2021, 14:41.

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