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The Death of Inflation

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  • errolanderson
    Senior Member
    • Jan 2012
    • 3123

    Margin debt is skyhigh, now estimated in-the-trillions. This is going to be one hell of a margin call when it blows. Powell dismissed and appeared unaware the magnitude of margin on 60 Minutes.

    1999 ... 2008 ... now 2021

    Comment

    • Taiga
      Senior Member
      • Jul 2018
      • 1452

      Do we really think prices are going to come down? Think prices like these are sustainable in this business?

      Comment

      • biglentil
        Senior Member
        • Jun 2015
        • 3258

        Mpca !
        [ATTACH]7775[/ATTACH]

        Comment

        • errolanderson
          Senior Member
          • Jan 2012
          • 3123

          The incoming deflationary shock and credit market defaults will catch the investor herd totally unsuspecting (IMO).

          Even plywood prices are susceptible to-a-markdown.

          Comment

          • biglentil
            Senior Member
            • Jun 2015
            • 3258

            Originally posted by errolanderson View Post
            The incoming deflationary shock and credit market defaults will catch the investor herd totally unsuspecting (IMO).

            Even plywood prices are susceptible to-a-markdown.
            You've been saying deflation is coming since plywood was $26 a sheet and calling for golds sell off since $900. I've been hearing about deflation risks for 20years and I've been calling bullshit for that long. It's just jawboning by the fed all the while they continue to print and steal the purchasing power of the savers. Increasing money supply is INFLATION, price inflation is the result. That is the definition as per the Merriam Webster Dictionary from early 1900's to the 1970's until the Keynesians forced them to change it to align with a cooked CPI model to significantly understate real world price inflation. Do you honestly believe the economy is struggling to maintain a 2% price inflation rate currently?
            Last edited by biglentil; Apr 17, 2021, 22:42.

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            • biglentil
              Senior Member
              • Jun 2015
              • 3258

              You can’t make this shit up. Comic book produced by the NY Fed outlines exactly what’s going on today.

              https://twitter.com/HayekAndKeynes/status/1388308624431255555?s=19 https://twitter.com/HayekAndKeynes/status/1388308624431255555?s=19

              Comment

              • biglentil
                Senior Member
                • Jun 2015
                • 3258

                You can’t make this shit up. Comic book produced by the NY Fed outlines exactly what’s going on today.

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                • sumdumguy
                  Senior Member
                  • Mar 2007
                  • 11952

                  Cycles repeat. The thing is, there were probably the same predictors over and over again all through the years. Who hasn’t heard the old folks warning the next generation about prices rising, too much borrowing? All I am saying is I’ve heard this song and dance repeatedly. When we were buying land in 1972 at $100/acre, our father was saying, “You’ll never pay for that, the price is way too high”. The borrowers were the winners (except when interest rates went to 22%). Could that happen again? That would put the brakes on, wouldn’t it?

                  Comment

                  • Ache4Acres
                    Senior Member
                    • Jun 2015
                    • 816

                    I’ve basically been calling for a collapse of the dollar for nearly 20 years and yes it may seem to some like I’m the boy that cried wolf but I would say thing look more than ever like I will be right in the near future.

                    Interest Rates can never increase significantly again without bringing a complete collapse of the system. The amount of debt in the world compared to 1980 is literally astronomical.

                    This is not a matter of if but when. In the interim they feel like the way out is taxation (carbon tax), currency devaluation and quasi inflation. That’s the same old game plan. The inflation (read devaluation) of your currency is estimated to be around 15% per year right now. If you are not making 15% on your money you are losing your wealth.

                    The only asset in the world that has outperformed the money printing in last 12 years is bitcoin. Other commodities and assets like real estate have faired well too but really treaded water compared to the Feds balance sheet expansion.

                    Comment

                    • biglentil
                      Senior Member
                      • Jun 2015
                      • 3258

                      Pictures going up!

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