Fall 2021 prices

[GDR]

GDR, what’s a drought yield? 1/2 crop, 2/3 crop?

Maybe that's a good question, what sort of swings have guys seen from one extreme to the next? I've seen patchy germination, I've seen hilltops burn off but never seen corner to corner drought.
I honestly guess I dont know in our area. We have had a couple really dry years that have been pretty pathetic on the grass/ hay maybe 40% of normal yields or less, but grain yields still pretty respectable, with better quality. I realize I'm in a fairly forgiving area, more often too wet than too dry. Our biggest risk is hail, in 2009 lost every acre 100% spread out 15 miles.

[ry0972]

Drought yields will vary dramatically for a number of reasons.
But a true drought year (1988) usually means single digit yields in cereal and oilseed crops.
In my 22 crop years I have seen 3 years with yield of 0 to 10 bpa.
And a couple other years that the yield was 10 to 20 but the crop was so short that flexheaders were used in cereals to try and get as many of the heads as possible.
Newer headers and land rollers would reduce grain loss and equipment damage in those situations.
But a 4 to 6" high, 15bpa cereal stand that gets rain or snow at harvest ends up single digits as well.

[Guest]

I've sold a little wheat for next fall.
Waiting on the canola and a little more wheat. Today I'm not comfortable selling more than a drought yield.

Lol, still have wheat from17,18,19 &20
Wheat is my biggest **** up

[blackpowder]

I did a drop of CPS back in Oct for $7.70 with no basis locked.
So, hopefully no more than a $.40 🤞
East Central AB.
I would like to see more snow and a closer spring before i do more. Of course $8 would change my mind. Wouldn't want to do much more than 20bpa until i see mud in April. Like to be 50+ bpa sold by June/July.
Our sub moisture tank on E here too.

If i sell any paper its always conservative amounts and strategies.

[GDR]

Decided to price some September barley today, price actually up. Secured $5.25.

[Oliver88]

Decided to price some September barley today, price actually up. Secured $5.25.

This is a great feed barley price.

[katoe]

5.25 barley . Is that delivered or at the bin? Are you close to the buyer ?

[GDR]

5.25 barley . Is that delivered or at the bin? Are you close to the buyer ?

Its Richardson Olds so I have to deliver, only half hour away, plus the 2 hours in the lineup🤨

[makar]

GDR, what’s a drought yield? 1/2 crop, 2/3 crop?

Buying grain in 1980 cow guy had 80 bu no input barley, 1981 doubled his acres and never filled a truck.

[makar]

We don't do this just for fun !

We do it for the benefits and pension plan.