Seasonal Canola

[Guest]

.......so much for the premium on already priced Speciialty canola.

yep , our $12.75 hi acid don't look so good now
but the $14 two years ago sure was good

[Guest]

Kraut...

Here are few factors to consider.....

1. The derecho event affected 37 million of farmland
2. Its been dry in the states...bad for soybean yields
3. Canola is priced off soybeans and they are moving higher...
4. There has been a hard frost on many acres of canola.
5. the yields are not proving out on canola this year...
6. Elevators are focusing on canola deliveries for the next couple of weeks in the southern prairies....
7. Provincial crop report put canola at 35 BPA... lower than previous expectation of 41 BPA...thats a reduction of nearly 20 percent...


Positive or negative?????/

our marketing adviser was still telling us 2 weeks ago to cash in on rally, as were others ,biggest crop ever ,
how in the **** can all these experts be dead wrong ?????????????????????????????????????????????
SCIC comes out every year to do big game damage on crops and always amaze me when they get yield f-kn near right on
canola yield down 25 % here plus a massive hail strip of SFA
we've been played again
there is absolutely fu-k all for canola left in bins , this is gonna come back to haunt these fu-kers real soon
we have zero regular canola , first time in life
anyone that has it , put it under lock and key
$15 is right around the corner

[furrowtickler]

Farming 101 posted the best graph 1 month ago , and he was spot on 👍

[Guest]

Farming 101 posted the best graph 1 month ago , and he was spot on 👍

i should be paying him a subscription
he has sure helped me

[GDR]

Swathing canola today. From the excess rain drown outs and wet conditions disease load, then the hot and dry finish gonna be severe yield drop on my farm. Will know in a couple weeks but I'm expecting half of normal yields. Looked way better from the road or edge of field. Glad I havent pre sold any.

[jazz]

i should be paying him a subscription
he has sure helped me

Canola was sold out back in May. A good chunk of last yrs crop was garbage.

It was when my savvy old dad slipped a load of garbage in to RP and got No. 1 for it, I knew the canola complex was running on fumes and hoping for a big new crop.

That disappeared around here after the first week or so in August after we got a week of 30+. I suspect it disappeared for the northern guys after that frost.

No bags in the canola fields this yr.

[Guest]

canola yields down 20-25 % here
again , where is this monster crop on the prairies?
apparently it needs water after all ?

[jazz]

canola yields down 20-25 % here
again , where is this monster crop on the prairies?
apparently it needs water after all ?

This is coming off so far at 6-7% moisture. I can store that without worry well into next spring.

We could have the trade by the balls if we wanted to.

Guys who usually bag it are hauling it home to bins, maybe thinking the same thing.

[bucket]

our marketing adviser was still telling us 2 weeks ago to cash in on rally, as were others ,biggest crop ever ,
how in the **** can all these experts be dead wrong ?????????????????????????????????????????????
SCIC comes out every year to do big game damage on crops and always amaze me when they get yield f-kn near right on
canola yield down 25 % here plus a massive hail strip of SFA
we've been played again
there is absolutely fu-k all for canola left in bins , this is gonna come back to haunt these fu-kers real soon
we have zero regular canola , first time in life
anyone that has it , put it under lock and key
$15 is right around the corner

And your marketing advisor got paid for the advice?

Zero skin in the game ...and probably listens to people like Townsend. ...

Ask him if there is a refund for bad calls that cost you money?

Seems to me they always remind you of the money they made you not what they lost you.....

I walk in my fields to clear my head....count heads or bolls or pods....advisors look at graphs and others commentary...

Farmers live the NDVI in real time. ...advisors study it a week later...

Just some perspective...

[jazz]

I walk in my fields to clear my head....count heads or bolls or pods....advisors look at graphs and others commentary...

Farmers live the NDVI in real time. ...advisors study it a week later...

Just some perspective...

Actually, I think these guys are relying on satellite imagery and that is steering them wrong. They cant possibly get a good feel for the entire crop without hundreds of in field visits every few weeks and most cant afford to have a staff like that other than USDA.

I wouldnt pay for any service like that.