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Pea yields

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  • dave4441
    Senior Member
    • May 2003
    • 1080

    #51
    Originally posted by furrowtickler View Post
    What’s your take on the China situation?
    They are extremely patient buyers and they see market coming down so waiting. Likely they will wait to long though. Some people feel they have lots of product backed up (landed in china) and available to their internal market and just don't need to buy. I am not sure but i wouldn't aggressively sell yellow peas today. Green peas are a different issue. Acreage has increased year after year after year and i think this year it will be tough at times to see a premium to yellow peas. For the whole year. Hope I am wrong and something changes this but looks to be 2X supply then needed. This isn't yield based comment it is acreage based.

    Comment

    • AlbertaFarmer5
      Senior Member
      • Oct 2010
      • 12516

      #52
      How else to ration the supply coming in the door, except with price?
      The only other option is to let Chuck and gang tell you how much to bring and when, again.

      Comment

      • furrowtickler
        Senior Member
        • Dec 2004
        • 21880

        #53
        Originally posted by AlbertaFarmer5 View Post
        How else to ration the supply coming in the door, except with price?
        The only other option is to let Chuck and gang tell you how much to bring and when, again.
        Or that we all only need 1500 ac farms and everything must be sold through the collective so no one ever gets ahead of thy neighbour

        That’s the mentality in a nut shell

        Comment

        • SASKFARMER
          Senior Member
          • Dec 2005
          • 6960

          #54
          Yea Dave demand is gone funny China is looking for and buying grain all over the world yet shit hole canada cant get a sale. In this 2020 market maybe look at the big picture it’s not about marketing it’s about others waiting to pick us off at pennies on the dollar then resell and make money. Canada is a shit hole wake up. Plus name one Country that Actually respects our leadership?

          Comment

          • the big wheel
            Senior Member
            • Mar 2017
            • 3860

            #55
            Originally posted by dave4441 View Post
            This issue in the pea market is demand. People have no bid because today there is simply zero demand. Its not because the exporters want to buy it cheaper and make a $1/bu. It will change and get better but no traditional demand off the combine like other years. I do think maybe COVID has slowed the chain in China. But a few months from now likely better. What i do know though is India's current crop has good monsoon weather which likely means no change on their demand. And Tarrifs/bans will remain in place. Indian bought 2 Million MT in 2016 and 120,000 MT in 2019-20 crop year. This is the issue. But in 2016 China took 1 MMT and last year 2.5 MMT. So they will come back into the market, just not yet.

            Hard to understand what the market is doing when you simply frame the market as trying to F--k you.
            Not hard to understand over a buck loss it’s a fk job we have no clout over the buyers. This debate has been had what is the actual price that the buyers from us are getting? Nobody knows!!

            Comment

            • furrowtickler
              Senior Member
              • Dec 2004
              • 21880

              #56
              Originally posted by SASKFARMER View Post
              Yea Dave demand is gone funny China is looking for and buying grain all over the world yet shit hole canada cant get a sale. In this 2020 market maybe look at the big picture it’s not about marketing it’s about others waiting to pick us off at pennies on the dollar then resell and make money. Canada is a shit hole wake up. Plus name one Country that Actually respects our leadership?
              Macaroon from France maybe

              Comment

              • Rareearth
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2012
                • 1618

                #57
                Harvest low prices is normal in every farming region in the world I would think. It’s not the exporters, railways or any other market participants, that’s how the markets work with supply and demand.

                Dave I would subscribe to your “ news and views newsletter “ if you were to get into that game.
                Thanks for your postings

                Comment

                • sumdumguy
                  Senior Member
                  • Mar 2007
                  • 11976

                  #58
                  It could be worse. We could be waiting in line to fill our 2 bushel quota, knowing that we might not see another quota before Xmas.

                  Comment

                  • Grahamp
                    Senior Member
                    • Feb 2013
                    • 294

                    #59
                    Originally posted by sumdumguy View Post
                    It could be worse. We could be waiting in line to fill our 2 bushel quota, knowing that we might not see another quota before Xmas.
                    Lol talk to an old timer about LIFT

                    Comment

                    • SASKFARMER
                      Senior Member
                      • Dec 2005
                      • 6960

                      #60
                      Boys I remember lift we bought pasture and was able to move grain. Sucked.

                      But reality is China is buying all over the world and paying and canada well we’re stuck in reverse.

                      Yes big crop big deliveries big bills no storage etc.

                      Yea it’s all a joke and deep down you all know it.

                      Peas drop over a dollar yep that’s normal

                      Comment

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