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Canola intra-day and daily charts....

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  • farmaholic
    Senior Member
    • Sep 2010
    • 17479

    #21
    I wish I knew where to draw the lines.

    Comment

    • sumdumguy
      Senior Member
      • Mar 2007
      • 11975

      #22
      472/44.092= too cheap

      Comment

      • farmaholic
        Senior Member
        • Sep 2010
        • 17479

        #23
        Originally posted by sumdumguy View Post
        472/44.092= too cheap
        Don't forget the basis!

        Actually, I have a positive $77.36 basis. $12.45/bu today picked up.

        The negative basis on commodity canola makes the price spread even wider compared to the specialty canola.

        Like probably about $2.60/bu.

        But I wouldn't grow it because it's slow and has a big yeild drag.

        Storage and fuel costs money, so a smaller lighter crop is cheaper to grow and store.

        Stayin Ghetto poor growing specialty canola.....
        Last edited by farmaholic; May 13, 2020, 08:32.

        Comment

        • farmaholic
          Senior Member
          • Sep 2010
          • 17479

          #24
          Click image for larger version

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          stuck below 475

          Comment

          • farming101
            Senior Member
            • Mar 2011
            • 3954

            #25
            Higher not working....well, try lower than.....

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            • farmaholic
              Senior Member
              • Sep 2010
              • 17479

              #26
              Spot prices are about 10 bucks. Trigger trigger trigger. I really hate the way marketing has evolved with target price contracts.

              Comment

              • AlbertaFarmer5
                Senior Member
                • Oct 2010
                • 12512

                #27
                Originally posted by farming101 View Post
                Higher not working....well, try lower than.....
                At risk of sounding conspiratorial, I think you are right. Need to play the emotions of fear and greed against us to keep shaking bushels loose. Up a bit and we sell, but As soon as it appears to be an uptrend we get greedy and stop selling holding out for higher, So the trend has to reverse Until we all think it's going to zero and fear takes over and we sell.

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                • farming101
                  Senior Member
                  • Mar 2011
                  • 3954

                  #28
                  Good to see a green day and that canola avoided sinking below 458 July.

                  Watch for closes above 466.50 to give a chance for 475.
                  Failing that watch out for that sub 458....

                  Comment

                  • Rareearth
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2012
                    • 1618

                    #29
                    Now,
                    Wouldn’t it be interesting if part of the CGC mandate was to, collect :
                    - every Tuesday and Thursday licenced grain buyers must report
                    - number of farmers that have a price offer formally with a exporter
                    - the commodity, grade and tonnage
                    - delivery month

                    Then CGC to report this info every Monday morning. Skippy could do this, no doubt in my mind.

                    Comment

                    • farming101
                      Senior Member
                      • Mar 2011
                      • 3954

                      #30
                      Sub 458 hit this morning-RSN. Gunning for a new low for July contract now.

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