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Chicken Littles

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  • mustardman
    replied
    Originally posted by GDR View Post
    Dr Jazz, why you fight the reality that the rest of the world can see is beyond me??
    Jazz sounds like a fellow who called into Gormley on Friday. He went On and On about how this was no worse than ordinary flu..... Gormley did politely tell him no it wasn’t. Way more polite than I would have done. Maybe it was you jazz ?

    Couldn’t believe that this many weeks In to this and some people haven’t heard the message

    Leave a comment:


  • farmaholic
    replied
    Screw the inatimate economy, I would rather err on the side of caution and have the people in my life I'm closest to be here for as long as possible. I refuse to put a price on life.

    Anyone with high risk friends and relatives who are poor candidates for recovery from CV-19 should understand this.

    Leave a comment:


  • GDR
    replied
    Originally posted by jazz View Post
    ok chickies, this guy has the govt models on his site compared with the actuals coming in now.

    In case any of you are math deficient, the models used to shut down the economy are coming in with hospitalizations 2-5 fold higher than the actuals.

    More than 100,000 americans were supposed to be hospitalized by now, only 30,000 currently are. The curve is going to be less than half as high and half as long as predicted and its got nothing to do with social distancing. Another blown forecast by our egghead modellers. They must have moved the climate change folks on to this.

    https://twitter.com/justin_hart/status/1245798197533896704

    Sorry if you don't like the message, prove it wrong if you can. Funny how a little bit of real data can destroy a narrative but we have seen that before.
    Dr Jazz, why you fight the reality that the rest of the world can see is beyond me??

    Leave a comment:


  • biglentil
    replied
    Click image for larger version

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    Not sure what planet you live on Jazz. Your flu is worse bs was a terrible fail but you wont give up. That type of thinking is what got us into this mess. Even with the protocol in place cases in Canada are doubling every 7 days, 15531 confirmed cases in Canada as of today. Without everyone wearing masks the model will likely continue expect 31000 in a week, 62000 in 14 days, 124000 21 days, 248000 in 28 days, 596000 in 35 days, 1.2m in 42 days, 2.4m in 49 days, 4.8m in 56 days, 9.6m in 62days... Around then we will hit an inflection point in which the rest of the population will take longer to infect. Why don't you look at my models posted here over a month ago damn near bang on. Doesn't take a rocket surgeon.
    Last edited by biglentil; Apr 5, 2020, 18:59.

    Leave a comment:


  • sawfly1
    replied
    Because it is working , esp. In sask.
    That is what we want, I do not have
    It . Have not left the farm.
    You want us to fill the Hospitals.
    Make it unmanageable.
    Kill it first, starve it for victims.
    Then when we have a battle plan and
    Testing , we will all be back to work

    Leave a comment:


  • jazz
    started a topic Chicken Littles

    Chicken Littles

    ok chickies, this guy has the govt models on his site compared with the actuals coming in now.

    In case any of you are math deficient, the models used to shut down the economy are coming in with hospitalizations 2-5 fold higher than the actuals.

    More than 100,000 americans were supposed to be hospitalized by now, only 30,000 currently are. The curve is going to be less than half as high and half as long as predicted and its got nothing to do with social distancing. Another blown forecast by our egghead modellers. They must have moved the climate change folks on to this.

    https://twitter.com/justin_hart/status/1245798197533896704

    Sorry if you don't like the message, prove it wrong if you can. Funny how a little bit of real data can destroy a narrative but we have seen that before.
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