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Canola Acreage will just get to 20 mil in 2020. Farmers are dropping crop.

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  • jazz
    Senior Member
    • Jul 2018
    • 9308

    #11
    After a late start to the season and trouble with the fall, I am quite concerned with the storage risk with Canola. Article in the WP says there is a premium if you can sell it in the spring but that means holding a touchy crop over the winter. The higher oil contents they are breeding makes that harder and more expensive for farmers to manage.

    Also getting a crop down to 10% moisture vs 14% (wheat) is night and day during iffy harvest weather. If that continues around here, we would have to invest in a massive drying effort along with the carbon taxes that come with it.

    Comment

    • Partners
      Senior Member
      • May 2010
      • 3105

      #12
      Originally posted by jazz View Post
      Isnt it closer to $7?

      Much less risk, 70bu at $5 is just about the same money as 50bu at $9.50 plus seed. More stable market perhaps. Canada is pretty much owns the canola export market so any hiccups come back to us disproportionally as we have seen. Canada is much more middle of the pack in the wheat trade.
      Number 2.12.5 pro.
      $5.50 this morn.

      Comment

      • Oliver88
        Senior Member
        • Dec 2012
        • 4688

        #13
        Viterra is currently taking 80 cents off for a #2, 12.5 pro. They are making a good margin and have enough willing sellers to fill trains.

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        • SASKFARMER
          Senior Member
          • Dec 2005
          • 6977

          #14
          Wheat with good yields and grade makes a farmer money. Seed is the reason but some want that to end. Real bright.

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          • woodland
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2015
            • 1972

            #15
            Originally posted by Partners View Post
            Number 2.12.5 pro.
            $5.50 this morn.
            Feed wheat at a local feedlot is $5.76 for 58 lbs and dry. Deliver and paid ASAP with no grading BS

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            • Freightshaker
              Member
              • Jan 2020
              • 89

              #16
              25% off 75-65 dekalb canola now. Me thinks dekalb is well below their forecast. Talk with your retailer if you have that booked, make sure you get the discount.

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              • ajl
                Senior Member
                • May 2008
                • 3246

                #17
                Originally posted by woodland View Post
                Feed wheat at a local feedlot is $5.76 for 58 lbs and dry. Deliver and paid ASAP with no grading BS
                Dry feed wheat has been at a premium to damp gradeable wheat for some time especially 12.5% pro and below in the Edmonton region. Shipped mine to the elevator last week as I did not know exactly how wet it was. Got $6 less drying charges for it. CPS acres will likely rise this coming year.

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                • woodland
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2015
                  • 1972

                  #18
                  Originally posted by ajl View Post
                  Dry feed wheat has been at a premium to damp gradeable wheat for some time especially 12.5% pro and below in the Edmonton region. Shipped mine to the elevator last week as I did not know exactly how wet it was. Got $6 less drying charges for it. CPS acres will likely rise this coming year.
                  I agree that dry grain out this way has and requires a premium. Still sitting on our dry barley since guys are emptying lots of damp bags yet. Hopefully come spring it’ll climb to where I’d prefer to see it before pulling the pin on it. Who knows😉

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                  • TASFarms
                    Senior Member
                    • Feb 2014
                    • 1347

                    #19
                    After looking at farm link there was in 78 496 total seeded last year and they have 79 125 for 2020 multiply by a thousand

                    Comment

                    • SASKFARMER
                      Senior Member
                      • Dec 2005
                      • 6977

                      #20
                      Yea I heard him at noon today he is usually not correct.

                      Comment

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