Heat Warning is Issued. Markets say its all good nothing to see here, move along.

[farming101]

Above average temps for next two weeks? With little to no rain? Done like dinner if that materializes. All crops below average for a huge area

[SASKFARMER3]

Yes V i agree Manitoba production in the big picture is min compared to sask etc, The heat and wind will be the problem.

[Hamloc]

SF3, in central Alberta our crops look very similar to yours. Our crops look similar to your(sorry no pics). Most canola is bolting or in 10-20% bloom. Wheat is anywhere from flag to fully headed. My one field of peas ranges in height from knee high to 4 feet. I feel fortunate and this heat is going to hurt. My understanding is non-irrigated areas of southern Alberta are very dry. We need rain!!

[danny W1M]

SF3, there are some fields around that have heavy fertilizer programs. Unbelievable number of stools because of the early rain, but are already starting to die off, The ones that survive will have small heads and puny seeds.
Plants have very shallow roots here due to all the earlier rain, heat is hitting faster than they can grow down.
Was over toward east Weyburn area, earlier in the week, quite a few flax fields, but if any of them make more than 10 b/a I'd be very surprised. Canola, half bolting, the other half 2", not even cabbaging yet. Brutal germination there(maybe cutworm too)

[farmaholic]

Your profitability is of little concern to the traders/merchants. If my crops yield in the low twenties and everyone else's are in the forties, the grain markets don't care if the prices paid that turn most everyone else a profit don't turn my farm a profit. ....that's my problem!

Make no mistake....they are fully aware of what's happening. Also remember some of the GrainCos get to choose which "shelf", the Canadian, Australian, American shelf or which ever they will take product from to make a sale. Global market. They are margin traders and if they can...spread takers.

Good luck and hang in there. Some are, or will be in bigger trouble than others....it isn't very pretty here already.

[biglentil]

All the "oh its overexaggerated" crowd needs to take a little drive down south past weyburn. A total disaster as in "is that supposed to be canola?"

[Partners]

Markets will hang on as long as possible before the panic sets in.
Crops in the wet zone from Tisdale west to PA look good considering the super wet spring guys were given there..just late..
We have lots of subsoil moisture..hope it saves the crop.
Waiting for crop insurance guy to check our 125 to wet to seed acres.
Now most of it almost dry..

[sofa.king]

I haven't seen crops this bad since the 80s but as sf3 says nothing to see here. The trade is so full of shit you would almost think they are liberal.

[Ache4Acres]

Someone had asked for pictures of the crops not looking so good.

I drove yesterday from regina south to plentywood, I didn't have much time to stop but here are the only soybeans I saw.



And here is one shot of the wheat



Lots of very ugly patchy near non-existent canola too but I didn't grab a pic, just too hard too look at.

Farmers in plentywood already getting panicky about the lack of hay

[Kinger]

Your profitability is of little concern to the traders/merchants. If my crops yield in the low twenties and everyone else's are in the forties, the grain markets don't care if the prices paid that turn most everyone else a profit don't turn my farm a profit. ....that's my problem!

Make no mistake....they are fully aware of what's happening. Also remember some of the GrainCos get to choose which "shelf", the Canadian, Australian, American shelf or which ever they will take product from to make a sale. Global market. They are margin traders and if they can...spread takers.

Good luck and hang in there. Some are, or will be in bigger trouble than others....it isn't very pretty here already.

The "shelf" thing is kinda half right. They will pull from where ever they have the cheapest product that meets the desired spec. That doesn't just mean countries but more different parts of one. For example hey lets buy all of Saskatchewan cheap good quality oats for $0.25/bu less than what i have to pay in Manitoba.

Merchants and Graincos offer premiums/better basis where it will have the most impact and buy the most grain. Same decision you make with chemical. Best bang for your buck