Kansas Wheat

[farmaholic]

Vomi levels in your durum are dropping fast. All the sudden its safe again. Special one day pricing alerts coming soon.

Unfortunately for us I don't think this event hit any key durum growing areas...did it? Northern tier State's durum crops probably aren't susceptible yet unless they got way too much rain on the crop. Desert durum states...where are they and what stage is the crop.

[danny W1M]

Excellent article, posted by Kansas State U., found on another site, regarding the past weekend winter storm. Precipitation and Temperature maps along with synopsis.

here's the link, [URL="https://webapp.agron.ksu.edu/agr_social/m_eu_article.throck?article_id=1357"]https://webapp.agron.ksu.edu/agr_social/m_eu_article.throck?article_id=1357[/URL]

Remember that dark blue would extent back west into the Colorado plains, and south through the Oklahoma pan handle and into northern Texas.

[farming101]

Price action seems to be indicating a wait and see attitude regarding the weekend weather event and the extent of damage. May not be going much higher for a bit but likely won't see it go lower either.
Staying above 4.61N for the week will be positive
One thing is this hit a lot of irrigated wheat. if it does partially recover disease is going to be huge
Next resistance 4.80N

[danny W1M]

Winter wheat tour starting this week, for a change, time timing might be good.

[furrowtickler]

This is what will be interesting

[danny W1M]

That's what seems to be the biggest concern of posters on U.S. sites from the Midwest, The damage already being done to the crops, corn and beans that are in the ground, is the LOSS of YEILD already happening due to cold soil temps. Not from flooding, although there is some, it's mostly about yield loss due to cold ground. That forecast won't be good.
Soil temps must be critical for the future yield potential. We don't seem to worry about that so much with wheat.

[furrowtickler]

Successful Farming . Com just put out article "We've lost the western Kansas wheat crop" ....

[macdon02]

620 000 000 loaves of bread by best estimate

[farming101]

The loss of crop is one part of the calculation. The other part is that there may be business brought forward to secure supply. Ending stocks levels may be much lower.
Ending stocks of HRW were up 4 million tonnes year over year. Could they be down 4 million in one year?

[macdon02]

3.1 million acres affected in western Kansas.