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    #21
    The best someone can do is predict market direction and probabilities for prices. Anyone else is just fooling themselves or has gotten lucky. To predict actual prices in ag commodities, you've got to be able to predict weather. Good luck with that.

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      #22
      Just to reinforce the last thought: If Australia would have produced 20-25 million tonnes of wheat, prices would be at $6, no question.

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