you see i agree with your line of thinking in the shortterm but if you look back over the last thirty years (and i've been farming longer than that although we're no longer in crops because of how i see the larger picture) and see how things have changed then look ahead (instead of back) down the road we've been travelling i think farmers will have less and less control over their industry and will more be producing to specs laid down by somebody else. this is fine as long as either the rewards compensate for the risks or risks are shared (same thing, really). the way i put it is that in my father's time if he got an early frost he made less money but there was some room in the price for a risk such as weather but now all the risk is on the producer and if you get froze you're screwed big time because not only is the price not advancing over time but the costs borne vby the producer have increased so dramatically. in the very early eighties when we inc. and rolled assets in, when we signed the final agreements my father sat in the lawyer's office and said he was glad he wouldn't have to deal with the things coming down the pipe. i think he had seen the beginnings of structural change in the grain sector and had a feeling for how it would go.
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