Stats Can Seeding intention?

[SASKFARMER3]

Well, this is late as busy doing other work but here is my guess for what they are going to show.

Wheat steady to lower by just a bit.

Durum steady

Canola 24.1 ? I dont think it will be their

Oats down.

Barley up up up way up.

Flax up a bit

peas down so hard not even funny

lentils down a bit

SMF non-existant

[SASKFARMER3]

Wheat
Nationally, farmers reported intending to seed 25.3 million acres of all varieties of wheat in 2018, up 12.8% over 2017. Seeding intentions for spring wheat indicate a 15.4% gain over 2017, to 18.2 million acres, while durum wheat acreage is expected to increase 11.0% to 5.8 million acres.

Provincially, producers in Alberta anticipate their total wheat area to increase by 9.6% from 2017 to 7.7 million acres in 2018. This gain is a result of an expected 14.7% increase in spring wheat acreage to 6.7 million acres. Conversely, less area should be seeded to durum, which is expected to decline to 951,000 acres (-12.8%).

Producers in Saskatchewan expect total wheat to rise for the first time since 2013, up 15.8% from 2017 to 13.1 million acres in 2018. This is due to a 17.2% rise in acres intended for spring wheat, to 8.1 million acres.

Farmers in Manitoba intend to plant 3.0 million acres of all varieties of wheat, up 13.1% from 2017.

Canola
Canadian farmers are expecting to seed 21.4 million acres of canola in 2018, down 7.0% from 2017.

The overall expected decrease in seeded area is the result of Saskatchewan farmers anticipating a 10.5% decrease from the record high of 12.7 million acres set in 2017, to 11.4 million acres in 2018, bringing the acreage closer to the five-year average.

Farmers in Alberta also expect lower canola acreage, down 4.0% from the record high set in 2017, to 6.7 million acres.

Meanwhile, Manitoba producers are expecting canola area to remain unchanged from 2017 at 3.2 million acres.

Soybeans
At the national level, farmers intend to seed 6.5 million acres of soybeans in 2018, down 11.4% from the record high in 2017. This is the result of declines expected in most provinces.

Producers in Manitoba are expecting a 14.4% decline to 2.0 million acres in 2018. This would be the first decrease in the province since 2007. Ontario farmers expect to seed 3.0 million acres, down 1.8% from 2017, while Quebec's acreage is expected to decline 12.3% to 863,000 acres.

Barley and oats
Canadian farmers in almost every province expect to seed more barley in 2018 (+5.1%), which would drive up acreage to 6.1 million acres nationally.

However, areas seeded to oats are expected to edge down 1.6% to 3.1 million acres. Saskatchewan farmers expect to plant 1.5 million acres (-6.7%), while Alberta producers anticipate planting 679,000 acres (-1.6%).

Corn for grain
At the national level, corn for grain acreage is anticipated to rise 5.1% from 2017 to 3.8 million acres.

In Ontario, farmers expect to plant 2.2 million acres in 2018 (+2.4%), while Quebec producers anticipate seeding 1.0 million acres (+8.1%).

Manitoba farmers expect to plant 455,000 acres of corn for grain in 2018, up 11.0% from 2017, leading to a possible record high level for the province.

Lentils and peas
Canadian farmers expect total lentil acreage to decline 8.1% from 2017, to 4.1 million acres in 2018. This would be driven by farmers in Saskatchewan, who anticipate an 8.4% decrease to 3.6 million acres.

Similarly, areas seeded to dry field peas are expected to decrease 5.5% from 2017 to 3.9 million acres, driven by Alberta farmers who anticipate a 13.1% drop to 1.6 million acres in 2018.

[furrowtickler]

Seen more expectations of canola at over 24 .
21 -22 seems more realistic .

[SASKFARMER3]

Actually when you think of it its dry in a large part of Sask and Canola needs moisture. The little snow we had lifts your spirits but the reality is it's still dry.

So wheat up a tiny bit.

Canola down so all the cowboys along the USA border have said F@#Kit and moved on to crops they know can grow.

The northern area is tapped on canola and Canola snow canola isn't working.

Peas and lentils are down a bit but steady and actually when you talk to seed growers or cleaners it seems guys who seed a 1000 acre peas are still doing 800 guys at 640 are still doing 480 and lentils are gaining in some areas and dropping in others.

Oats I was right is dropping.




Barley is increasing as guys see the price spike now.

Soy gaining in Manitoba dropping in Sask as lots of first timers are done.

Corn steady.

So interesting report.

[SASKFARMER3]

I agree furrow on the canola comment because all the guys I know that sell or supply seed have any variety you need still available if we were wall to wall canola that wouldn't be the case.

Plus its dry dust blowing by Regina yesterday.

[SASKFARMER3]

I like Larrys Comment this morning and after reading some more of the report Chickpeas are going up and that isn't a surprise as know lots seeding again. Canola is being replaced by chickpeas in the south and some flax.

[ajl]

When in doubt grow wheat apparently. Good to see the canola acreage restrained as this county will be heavy canola this year due to the land not seeded last year. Snow melt is done and flooding not as bad as I expected here but sloughs are full now. Not one drop of snow moisture went in the ground due to to ground being frozen underneath the snow illustrating how absolutely useless snow is most of the time.

[errolanderson]

Oh my . . . . Trade estimates on wheat and canola aren't in the same hemisphere as Stats Can numbers. If Stats Can was actually right, new crop canola should be 'limit up' today. U.S. wheat markets should be hammered. Oh my . . . what is the point of this report?

[bigzee]

If they would have called me the percentage would have even dropped further. 😁

[bigzee]

Moisture isn’t great in the south, acres will be cut due to that. Rotations have been pushed hard in the past few years, maybe some land needs a break. Could be another reason. At the end of the day how many actually tell the truth???

[SASKFARMER3]

Errol, why is the report wrong?

Sask is Bone dry and Alberta is at full bore canola rotation.

Manitoba has left the building on Canola, Soy is King. Cheaper to grow and they get the yields.

Canola snow canola works till you have to phone RB auctions or Input Capita.

Explain why all seed sales of Canola are down, Guys brown bagging, haha, No.

Best Varieties are still available.

Yet we are going to be wall to wall canola.

[sumdumguy]

We travelled to Winkler on Monday and the stubble is lots of corn. Only saw one outfit moving up the road but not one machine of any type out in the fields- almost no water laying around either. One guy told us he is going to grow sesame seeds. Anyone grown them?

[bucket]

Why is anyone growing lentils and peas.....did some of my checkoff dollars find a market for them?

Maybe if canola was 100 bucks an acre for seed people would come to their senses....

Growing wheat durum ....well just about any crop this year ensures the bin suppliers a good bonus this year...


The system might move a 1960s crop with boxcars but in reality the railways will not have finished moving last year's crop by harvest....

We should just take the year off....and see how Canada doesn't matter....to the world or to Ottawa. ...

Weeds and summerfallow are environmentally friendly right?

And good for a starving world?

[beaverdam]

SF3, was your second post the StatsCan numbers? or trade guesses, Not clear who's numbers your second post estimates, are from? More detail please.

[SASKFARMER3]

stats canada!