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Wheat Demand

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    Wheat Demand

    Global buyers of quality wheat face disappointment in Canada - Buyers looking to Canada for high-quality wheat to make bread as drought roils output in the northern United States may be thwarted, as dry weather has also hit crops there. Wheat plants with the high protein content needed to bake bread have shrivelled in the United States, one of the world's top exporters, creating a rare tight spot in a world awash with grain after four years of bumper harvests. Supplies are so short and demand so strong that the United States itself could rack up its third-highest level of wheat imports in the year from June 1, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA). The biggest importers of U.S. high protein spring wheat are Japan and the Philippines, and they are already shopping around. Just this month, buyers from the Philippines who are normally U.S. customers bought three Canadian spring wheat cargoes for autumn delivery, said Rhyl Doyle, director of export trading at Winnipeg-based Paterson Grain. But in the southern Canadian Prairies, some farmers are giving up on failed spring wheat crops, said Larry Weber, president of Saskatchewan-based Weber Commodities. "There are some absolutely horrible crops. We're not going to have an average crop in Western Canada," he said. Poor crop conditions drove prices for high quality spring wheat this month to four-year highs on the Minneapolis Grain Exchange (MGEX). Nearby September futures traded at a rare premium to deferred December for most of June and early July, with the nearby contract peaking on July 5 at a premium of more than 35 cents a bushel. The spread has since eased, with September closing Tuesday at a slight 2-3/4 cent discount to the December, due in part to farmers and grain elevators moving old-crop supplies of spring wheat into domestic milling and export channels. "The market is saying, 'Give me your wheat, now,'" said Austin Damiani, who trades MGEX spring wheat futures. The USDA this month forecast supplies of U.S. spring wheat left at the end of the marketing year on May 31, 2018, at 122 million bushels. That would be the smallest since 2007-2008 when MGEX prices soared to an all-time high above $24 a bushel

    #2
    Hope the traders get slaughtered but even if they do they will make it back next year. Don't grow wheat world is flooded with wheat ****in liars should be charged for market manipulation.

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      #3
      24 Bucks a bushel - sweet!

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        #4
        We would sell at 20.00.

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          #5
          .....not me, we'd want $24.01, lol.

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            #6
            Amazing how the world can be awash with wheat and after a couple months with below average precipitation we will end the crop year with the lowest ending stocks in a decade.

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              #7
              I only know one guy who seeded his entire farm to wheat. On our crop tours we saw very few wheat fields. Wheat used to cover 3/4 of our land back when.

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                #8
                Area around Kiev, Ukraine is in worst drought in 60 yrs. Australia in trouble (any update Mailee), some areas in Europe worst in 2 decades, and same here at home and US, but there is a HUGE carry over boys so price your wheat now before price goes down.

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                  #9
                  Trying to sell some wheat this week only 1 elev taking delivery in my area and they were 80 cents less than any others had posted. Same company.

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                    #10
                    Not sure wtf is going on....the durum has to be moved by now....lentils have no bid....canola is on fumes and yet getting movement is well....easier to get a dental appointment than haul grain.....

                    No one is paying attention as to how poor movement to export position is.....

                    Come harvest even with lower production things will still be ****ed up....

                    IMHO. ...but the numbers show a cluster**** coming.....

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                      #11
                      Look at all the big bins that have gone up. Just goes to prove how fuked grain movement really is

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                        #12
                        Why should the GrainCos build capacity when they can use yours for storage. The worst is when contracts aren't honored on a timely basis. Funny, demurrage only gets charged one way. ....but it states in the "CONTRACT" we sign...............

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                          #13
                          Sounds like a setup that could create a bread shortage on grocery store shelves. Maybe thats just what the spoiled consumer needs to see.

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