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Author Topic: dropping U.S. crop ratings
errolanderson Reply posted Jun 19, 2012 9:32      
crop ratings released yesterday show a  
sizable decline in U.S. corn and soybean  
crop ratings over the past week, due to  
hot, dry conditions. soy, corn, canola  
up like a rocket ship right now. so much  
for my bear flag idea . . . at least for  
now. 
 
also, U.S. Fed meeting for the next 2  
days. markets appear banking on joint  
global stimulus (it's like waiting for  
daddy to come to the family dinner table  
with his cheque book in-hand). markets  
appears to be in the buy-the-rumor stage 
 
daddy had better have his chequebook . .  
at least by tomorrow. 
 
errol

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bucket Reply posted Jun 19, 2012 9:38      
The saying goes "knee high by the fourth of july" but with as early as they planted, it should be that high by the 4th of june. 
 
Not happening in the keys growing areas. NAT is seeing rumours of crop being disked under. And they weather forecast is calling for heat and winds down there.

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bucket Reply posted Jun 19, 2012 11:51      
And with the current weather forecasts it is not likley that the ratings will improve in the next two weeks. 
 
Most acres in the states rely on soil moisture and it is gone as most talk that the tile quit running weeks ago. 
 
Some are comparing it to 1988 but are saying they had more soil moisture reserve then than now. 
 
A big rain may not help as the production prospects have been hurt already.

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errolanderson Reply posted Jun 19, 2012 12:04      
bucket . . . whoa, look at the breakout in  
December corn this morning. This turns a  
grumpy market into a happy market real  
fast. 
 
Corn is crunching feeder cattle right now.

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bucket Reply posted Jun 19, 2012 12:17      
I think the other factor is the USDA was counting on early corn to prop up the carryout. But in fact, what happens with crop ratings declining someone starts to look furthur out and realizes that this crop will be a whole lot tighter come march of 2013. 
 
They have alot of cattle on feed, poor pastures indicating more corn or wheat is going to feed cattle right now than should be. And those things can eat through a mountain of corn pretty fast, as they have to be fed everyday. 
 
Its all very bullish and rain may not help other than to maintain a poor crop.

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BTO_farmall Reply posted Jun 19, 2012 13:22      
Error - Fulla lotta Hot Air, About the Size of it Anyway.

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MarshallDillon Reply posted Jun 20, 2012 0:19      
Today may technically upset a lot of charts. I was sure that corn was going to go down into harvest, a little bit at a time, but looking at today's action and, well, it gets your attention. I am looking to go neutral Kansas City wheat unless there is a reasoned arguement against such action. $8.00 corn and $17.00 beans anywone?

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